愿景的方向与可能性的边界:对俄罗斯制定21世纪上半叶亚太地区战略的几点意见

发布时间：2018-11-07 12:05

【摘要】：为了成功融入亚太、促进其太平洋地区发展,俄罗斯需要提出新的战略规划。俄罗斯太平洋地区的社会经济发展新战略应成为俄罗斯在东亚和太平洋地区总战略的一个必要组成部分。俄罗斯太平洋地区的发展在21世纪上半叶主要是一个政治项目。不过,一个正确的地区经济发展模型也十分关键。改变该地区社会经济以及人口状况的尝试如果失败,那就会增加国家的财政负担和思想压力。为了有效、成功地实施其太平洋政策,莫斯科应公开摒弃整个远东——从极北纵深向南——全面发展社会经济的观念。这是乌托邦式的想法,将会导致精力与资金的分散。为保障地区居民能享受一样高的生活质量,它应在选择经济增长带(区)和集中人口的基础上,做出有利于崭新的空间地理发展模式的选择,将远东变为吸引人前来生活的地方,并塑造一种和谐的经济结构。俄中央和地方政府应从俄罗斯及其远东地区的利益出发,解决地缘政治和社会问题的双重目标。
[Abstract]:In order to successfully integrate into the Asia-Pacific region and promote the development of its Pacific region, Russia needs to put forward a new strategic plan. The new strategy for social and economic development in the Russian Pacific region should be an integral part of Russia's overall strategy in East Asia and the Pacific. The development of the Russian Pacific region in the first half of the 21 st century is mainly a political project. However, a correct regional economic development model is also critical. The failure of attempts to change the socio-economic and demographic conditions of the region will increase the country's financial burden and ideological pressure. In order to be effective and successful in its Pacific policy, Moscow should openly reject the idea of a comprehensive socio-economic development across the far East-from the far north to the south. This is a utopian idea that will lead to a distraction of energy and money. In order to ensure that the residents of the region can enjoy the same quality of life, it should make a choice in favor of a new pattern of spatial and geographical development on the basis of choosing the economic growth zone (region) and concentrating the population. Turn the far East into an attractive place to live and shape a harmonious economic structure. The central and local governments should solve the geopolitical and social problems in the interests of Russia and the far East.
【作者单位】：俄罗斯科学院远东分院远东历史、考古与民族学研究所;
【分类号】：D751.2

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