论军队在埃及变局及其政治转型中的作用

发布时间：2018-12-12 13:48

【摘要】：长期以来,军队一直是影响埃及政治发展的重要因素。伴随着埃及近代历史进程,军方形成了独特的团体性特征,其表现为团体意识、利益特殊化和独立决断能力,由此决定埃及军方在政治和社会变革时期的决策倾向和行为方式。中东变局发生后,埃及教俗之间的对峙、军方与文官政府(穆尔西时期)之间的矛盾相互交织,但是,军方仍直接或间接主导着埃及政治转型进程,其作用具有双重性:既是维护埃及社会稳定的最重要力量,对于防止社会分裂、保证社会秩序、结束政治混乱发挥重要作用;同时作为特殊利益团体,其行动逻辑乃是明显维护军方特权地位。从长远看,此状况将会阻碍埃及民主化进程,甚至损害民主发展的质量。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the army has been an important factor affecting Egypt's political development. With the development of Egypt's modern history, the military has formed a unique group characteristic, which is characterized by group consciousness, special interests and independent decision ability, which determines the decision-making tendency and behavior pattern of the Egyptian military in the period of political and social change. After the change in the Middle East, the confrontation between religion and custom in Egypt and the contradiction between the military and the civilian government (Morsi period) intertwined, but the military still directly or indirectly dominated the political transformation process of Egypt. Its function has duality: it is not only the most important force to maintain social stability in Egypt, but also plays an important role in preventing social division, ensuring social order and ending political chaos; At the same time, as a special interest group, the logic of its actions is to clearly maintain the privileged position of the military. In the long run, this situation will hinder the democratization process in Egypt, and even undermine the quality of democratic development.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院研究生院西亚非洲系;中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所;
【分类号】：D741.1

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