2005-2010年云南省出生人口性别比的实证研究与政府治理对策分析

发布时间：2018-02-17 01:07

本文关键词： 云南省出生人口性别比实证研究政府治理　出处：《云南大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：长期以来,人口问题始终是影响我国经济发展、社会进步和资源环境可持续发展的重要因素,是我们实现社会全面发展所面临的重大战略任务之一。我国从二十世纪八十年代开始出生人口性别比升高问题就开始显现,到了九十年代后出生性别比持续升高就十分明显了,进入二十一世纪后出生人口性别比升高程度进一步加剧,这已经成为了一个个不争的事实。如果长期以往,将会对引起严重的社会不稳定后果,对构建和谐社会造成负面影响。云南省作为一个边疆、少数民族的山区贫困省份,经济发展落后,自然资源承载力包括人口发展的环境还比较脆弱,人口的全面发展工作仍然存在诸多困难和挑战。出生人口性别比也长期持续高于正常水平,长此以往必将影响到我省人口环境的健康发展,进而影响到云南省社会经济的长期、稳定、可持续发展目标的实现。本文以公共管理学、公共政策分析、经济学、人口统计学等理论为指导,借鉴国内外研究成果,以云南省.2005—2010年人口计划生育统计数据为主要研究对象,重点对此期间的全省出生人口性别比长期偏高现象进行了分析。通过大量数据实证分析,具体描述了云南省出生人口性别比升高的变化趋势与特点；对出生人口性别比升高产生的原因进行了多因素、多角度的研究并建立了性别偏好形成实现过程理论框架；对出生人口性别比失衡可能造成的危害进行了较为深入的分析,最后结合云南实际情况,提出了八个层面的具体政府治理对策建议。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the population problem has always been an important factor affecting the economic development, social progress and sustainable development of resources and environment in China. It is a major strategy for us to achieve comprehensive social development, Ren Wuzhi. Since 1980s, the problem of increasing the sex ratio of the birth population in China has begun to appear. After 90s, the continuous increase in the sex ratio at birth is very obvious. Since 21th century, the rise in the sex ratio of the birth population has become an indisputable fact. If it has been in the past for a long time, it will have serious consequences for social instability. Yunnan Province, as a borderland and a poor mountainous province with ethnic minorities, has backward economic development, and the environment for carrying natural resources, including population development, is still relatively fragile. There are still many difficulties and challenges in the overall development of the population. The sex ratio of the birth population is also continuously higher than the normal level for a long time. In the long run, it will affect the healthy development of the population environment in our province, and then affect the long-term social and economic development of Yunnan Province. Stability, the realization of the goal of sustainable development. Guided by the theories of public management, public policy analysis, economics, demography, and drawing on the domestic and foreign research results, this paper takes the population and family planning statistics from 2005 to 2010 in Yunnan Province as the main research object. This paper focuses on the analysis of the long term high sex ratio of the whole province's birth population. Through a lot of empirical analysis, it describes the changing trend and characteristics of the increasing sex ratio of the Yunnan province's birth population. The causes of the increase of sex ratio of birth population are analyzed, and the theoretical framework of the formation and realization process of gender preference is established, and the possible harm caused by the imbalance of sex ratio of birth population is analyzed. Finally, combined with the actual situation in Yunnan, eight levels of specific government governance countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：云南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：C924.21

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