新疆人口老龄化问题及对策研究

发布时间：2018-02-27 05:35

本文关键词： 新疆人口老龄化对策　出处：《新疆大学》2010年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 随着经济社会的发展,新疆人口老龄化问题也将会日趋明显。1990-2005年间,新疆60岁及以上老年人口由1990年的94.46万人增长到2005的193.89万人,占全区总人口由1990的6.23%增长到2005年的9.64%,而且以平均7.01%的速度在快速增长。照国际通行的标准,一个国家或地区60岁及以上老年人口占总人口的比例达到10%,就进入人口老龄化社会。可见,目前新疆基本上已进入人口老龄化社会。在未来四十年内,新疆人口老龄化形势会越来越严峻,人口老龄化将会对新疆社会经济生活各方面产生重大影响。与沿海发达地区不同的是,新疆是在经济发展水平还不高的情况下,提前进入老龄化社会的,“未富先老”是新疆将要面临的重大人口社会问题。本文主要以重点分析新疆人口老龄化现状特征及其变动趋势为基础,预测其未来发展趋势,试图为未来人口政策的调整、政策的选择提供一种前瞻性、趋势性理论分析依据,分别从经济学和社会保障两个方面提出相应地对策和建议。研究发现,随着20世纪50年代、60-70年代的迁移人口和生育高峰时期出生队列的进入老年人口行列,新疆人口老龄化进程将会加快,人口老龄化水平将会快速提升,对新疆社会经济的发展产生重大影响以及带来一系列与老龄人口相关的社会问题,应引起自治区政府及相关决策部门的高度重视。
[Abstract]:With the development of economy and society, the problem of population aging in Xinjiang will become more and more obvious. During 1990-2005, the population of Xinjiang aged 60 and above increased from 944,600 in 1990 to one million nine hundred and thirty-eight thousand and nine hundred in 2005. The total population of the region increased from 6.23% in 1990 to 9.64 in 2005, and has grown rapidly at an average rate of 7.01%. If the proportion of the elderly population aged 60 and over in a country or region reaches 10 percent of the total population, it will become an aging society. It can be seen that Xinjiang has basically entered an aging population society at present. In the next 40 years, The aging situation of the population in Xinjiang will become more and more serious. The aging of the population will have a significant impact on all aspects of social and economic life in Xinjiang. Unlike in the developed coastal areas, Xinjiang is still in a situation where the level of economic development is not high. To enter an aging society ahead of time is a major demographic and social problem in Xinjiang. Based on the analysis of the current situation and trend of population aging in Xinjiang, this paper predicts its future development trend and tries to provide a forward-looking and trending theoretical basis for the adjustment and selection of population policy in the future. The corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the two aspects of economics and social security respectively. The study found that with the migration of population in 1950s and the birth cohort at the peak of fertility in 1950s, The aging process of the population in Xinjiang will be accelerated and the aging level of the population will be raised rapidly, which will have a significant impact on the social and economic development of Xinjiang and bring about a series of social problems related to the aging population. The autonomous region government and relevant policy-making departments should attach great importance to it.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：C924.2

【引证文献】