当前我国人口流动形势及其影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-01 16:02

本文关键词： 流动人口流动形势流动问题应对政策公共服务　出处：《山东社会科学》2017年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：我国流动人口的总体形势是:流动人口规模仍将持续增长;东南沿海仍是跨省流动的主要目的地;人口回流和城-城流动的增长将带动人口流动空间模式的多元化和城市规模体系的重构;人口流动整体趋于稳定化、家庭化;定居意愿普遍增强;新生代和老年期流动人口占比持续提高;少数民族人口流动进程滞后于全国的状况开始改变;大规模国际移民时代可能到来。人口流动面临的挑战是:劳动力供求关系的规模和结构性矛盾将长期并存;流动儿童与留守儿童面临教育和亲情的双重缺失;流动人口的公共卫生服务的压力持续增加;流动人口面临永久定居决策的深层次结构性矛盾。应对政策是:充分认识人口流动的新趋势和规律性;深化户籍制度改革;构建面向家庭的流动人口公共服务体系;关注流动人口新群体,提升服务管理供给能力;加强民族人口流出-流入地管理。
[Abstract]:The general situation of the floating population in China is as follows: the scale of the floating population will continue to increase, the southeast coast will still be the main destination for the inter-provincial mobility; The growth of population return and urban-city mobility will lead to the diversification of population mobility spatial model and the reconstruction of urban scale system; The proportion of floating population in the Cenozoic and the aged has been increasing continuously, the process of migration of ethnic minorities is lagging behind the situation of the whole country and the situation is beginning to change. The era of large-scale international migration is likely to come. The challenges of population mobility are: the scale and structural contradiction of labor supply and demand will coexist for a long time, the migrant children and left-behind children will face the double lack of education and family affection; The pressure of the public health service of the floating population is increasing continuously, the floating population is facing the deep structural contradiction of the permanent settlement decision. The policy should be: fully understand the new trend and regularity of the population mobility, deepen the reform of the household registration system; Construct the public service system of floating population oriented to the family; pay attention to the new group of floating population, enhance the ability of service management and supply; strengthen the management of the outflow of ethnic population.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心;北京大学城市与环境学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“第二代移民研究”(项目编号:11JJD840002)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：C924.2

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