中国现阶段不能放松计划生育政策吗——与黄少安和孙涛先生商榷

发布时间：2018-03-07 04:13

本文选题：人口　切入点：计划生育　出处：《学术月刊》2013年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：黄少安和孙涛先生关于中国必须长期持续地坚持"一胎化"的计划生育政策的讨论,集中呈现了诸多值得深入辨析的代表性论点,主要包括:(1)中国现在离人口负增长甚至低增长还远得很;(2)中国人均资源占有量严重短缺;(3)阻碍中华民族复兴的一定是中国巨大的人口负担。这些观点难以成立,同时与"一胎化"的计划生育政策配套的一揽子举措的合理性或有效性也令人质疑。中国人口现在正处于超低增长状态,人口的最优规模与人均资源占有数量之间并不存在单一线性相关关系,人口是人类社会存在与发展以及抵御各种风险的前提和基础。三十多年来的"一胎化"生育政策的众多不利影响已不同程度地显现出来:(1)加剧了出生人口性别比的失衡;(2)恶化了优生优育的综合环境;(3)日益严峻的老龄化将使国人面临老无所养的风险。尽早放松计划生育政策,由"一胎化"向"生育优化"转变具有制度文明意义,是建设幸福家庭与发展和谐社会的出发点和立足点,也是推动社会走向善治和繁荣的必然选择。
[Abstract]:The discussion between Huang Shaoan and Sun Tao that China must persist in the "one-child" family planning policy for a long period of time has focused on a number of representative arguments worthy of in-depth discrimination. Mainly include: 1) China is now far from a negative or even low population growth) China has a serious shortage of resources per capita, and 3) what is hindering the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation must be China's huge population burden. These views are hard to hold. At the same time, the rationality or effectiveness of the package of measures that accompany the "one-child" one-child policy is questionable. China's population is now growing at an ultra-low rate. There is no single linear correlation between the optimal population size and the per capita resource occupancy. Population is the premise and foundation of the existence and development of human society and to resist all kinds of risks. The numerous adverse effects of the "one-child" fertility policy over the past 30 years have been revealed to some extent) and the sex ratio of the birth population has been aggravated. The worsening of the comprehensive environment of good birth and good birth will make people face the risk of old age and lack of support as soon as possible. Relax the family planning policy as soon as possible. The transition from "one-child" to "fertility optimization" has the significance of institutional civilization, which is the starting point and foothold of building a happy family and developing a harmonious society, and is also an inevitable choice to promote the society to good governance and prosperity.
【作者单位】：山东大学高等教育研究中心;
【分类号】：C924.21

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