六普死亡登记误差及其调整探索

发布时间：2018-03-12 08:34

本文选题：粗死亡率　切入点：死亡登记误差　出处：《西北人口》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：目的:利用六普人口资料,分析各地死亡人口年龄综合指标,探索我国31个省区出生时预期寿命及经济人口社会变量,与2010年人口死亡率的关系。方法:使用描述性统计分析技术和相关回归分析拟合技术。结果:我国普查调查人口死亡率低于当年登记的人口死亡率,各地区人口死亡率全面低于全国人口死亡率;死亡人口登记误差主要发生在我国农村,及西南和部分西北地区。结论:2010年我国人口普查中,死亡人口、死亡率漏报率为18%左右,死亡人口漏报数量可能与外出人口数量,农村基层管理等有关。而出生时预期寿命,65岁以上老人比例等指标对于该地区人口粗死亡率有着较大的影响。
[Abstract]:Objective: to study the life expectancy at birth and the economic, demographic and social variables in 31 provinces and regions of China by using the data of Liu Pu population, and to analyze the comprehensive indexes of the age of the dead population in various places. Methods: descriptive statistical analysis technique and correlation regression fitting technique were used. Results: the mortality rate in China census survey was lower than that registered in that year. The mortality rate of population in all regions is lower than that of the whole country, and the error of death population registration mainly occurs in the rural areas of China, as well as in the southwest and part of northwest China. Conclusion: in 2010, in the census of our country, the rate of underreporting of death population and mortality rate was about 18%. The number of under-reported deaths may be related to the number of migrant population, rural grass-roots management and so on, while the proportion of people over 65 years of life expectancy at birth has a greater impact on the crude death rate of the population in this area.
【作者单位】：南京师范大学社会发展学院;
【基金】：全国哲学社科基金项目“六普生命表和人口死亡率的分析研究”(编号:15BRK009)阶段性成果
【分类号】：C924.24

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