人口密度、能源消费与绿色经济发展——基于省域面板数据的经验分析

发布时间：2018-03-21 19:27

本文选题：绿色经济发展　切入点：能源消费　出处：《干旱区资源与环境》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于预期未来人口密度加速增长和绿色GDP(GGDP)重启的背景,参考2004年国家绿色经济核算公告,核算出各省2004-2013年的绿色经济发展水平,然后运用面板模型分析了人口密度、能源消费、绿色经济发展间的关系,并检验了能源消费的调节效应与中介效应。研究结果表明:沿海经济发达省市和部分化石能源较贫乏省市绿色经济发展水平较高;主要化石能源开采省市绿色经济发展水平较低;人口密度与能源消费、绿色经济发展均呈倒"U"型曲线关系且人口密度的拐点值都大于现实值;能源消费与绿色经济发展呈线性关系且在人口密度与绿色经济发展间起到部分中介效应,而调节效应并不显著。
[Abstract]:Based on the background of the expected acceleration of population density growth in the future and the restart of green GDP, and referring to the 2004 announcement of National Green Economic Accounting, the green economy development level of various provinces from 2004 to 2013 is calculated, and then the population density and energy consumption are analyzed by panel model. The relationship between the development of green economy and the mediating effect of energy consumption is tested. The results show that the development level of green economy is higher in developed coastal provinces and cities with poor fossil energy. The development level of green economy in major fossil energy mining provinces is relatively low, the population density, energy consumption, green economy development are inversely "U" curve, and the inflection point of population density is higher than the actual value. Energy consumption has a linear relationship with the development of green economy and plays a partial intermediary effect between population density and the development of green economy, but the effect of regulation is not significant.
【作者单位】：中国矿业大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71673270);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403268) 教育部人文社会科学研究项目(14YJCZH146) 江苏省社会科学基金项目(12GLC009) 全国统计科学研究项目(2015LY14,2014LZ26) 中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(2014WB15)资助
【分类号】：C924.2;F127;F426.2

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