辽宁省人口变动对义务教育的影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-09 10:42

本文选题：人口变动　切入点：义务教育适龄人口　出处：《辽宁大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：自我国80年代人口计划生育政策的制定与实施后，辽宁省人口总和生育率水平迅速下降。三十年时间里辽宁省人口年龄结构与人口总量规模发生了显著的变化。与此同时，城镇化进程的不断加快促使一部分农村剩余劳动力由农村向城市转移，迁入地与迁出地的人口重新分布。在人口生育率变动与人口迁移变动的双重变动下，势必对城市与农村经济、社会、文化、教育等诸多方面产生影响。教育特别是九年制义务教育是我国法律规定实施的具有普及性与免费性的学校教育，是提升国民素质的基础。义务教育一直是中国教育改革和发展的重中之重，国家明确把实现让所有的适龄儿童都“上好学”作为发展目标。伴随着人口数量不断变动、城乡人口分布不断变化，作为义务教育对象的适龄人口数量也在发生变动。本文运用人口学的预测模型与研究方法，以义务教育适龄人口为切入点，旨在探究辽宁省人口变动对于义务教育的影响。一方面对本省未来20年人口自然变动与人口迁移变动进行趋势预测，另一方面对学校结构布局和师资队伍进行预测，，通过义务教育需求与供给双方的数量关系对比，进一步得到辽宁省2015-2030年义务教育阶段的供求情况，为全省制定宏观教育布局、教育战略规划以及统筹城乡间教育资源合理配置提供了数据基础。
[Abstract]:Since the establishment and implementation of the family planning policy in 1980's, the total fertility rate of Liaoning Province has declined rapidly.The age structure and total population size of Liaoning Province have changed significantly in the past 30 years.At the same time, the accelerating process of urbanization promotes the transfer of part of rural surplus labor force from rural to urban, and the redistribution of the population in and out of the rural areas.Under the dual changes of population fertility rate and population migration, the urban and rural economy, society, culture, education and many other aspects are bound to have an impact.Education, especially nine-year compulsory education, is a universal and free school education stipulated by Chinese law, which is the basis of improving the national quality.Compulsory education has always been the top priority of education reform and development in China.With the constant change of population, the distribution of urban and rural population is constantly changing, and the number of school-age population as the object of compulsory education is also changing.By using the demographic prediction model and research method, this paper aims to explore the effect of population change on compulsory education in Liaoning Province, taking the population of compulsory education as the starting point.On the one hand, it forecasts the trend of natural population change and population migration change in the next 20 years, on the other hand, forecasts the distribution of school structure and the teaching staff, and compares the quantity relationship between demand and supply of compulsory education.The situation of supply and demand of compulsory education in Liaoning Province from 2015 to 2030 provides a data basis for the province to formulate the macro-educational layout, the educational strategic planning and the rational allocation of educational resources between urban and rural areas.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：C924.24

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