适度老龄化:应对老龄危机的第一战略

发布时间：2018-04-10 14:04

本文选题：适度老龄化 + 人口代际均衡　；参考：《广西民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2014年01期

【摘要】：从少子化和老龄化的关系入笔来讨论中国老龄化面临的挑战以及新的出路,提出中国已经掉进了"少子老龄化陷阱"或者说"超低生育率陷阱"的判断。从长远看,中国人口老龄化挑战的根本是少子化危机。提出的核心观点是,从人口代际关系角度看,"适度老龄化"的含义是老少比和老劳比能够维系代际和谐的理想老龄化状态。实现"适度人口老龄化",必须从人口战略和政策角度出发矫正"人口代际失衡",维护"人口代际均衡"。提出的人口代际和谐均衡主要是指适度的老少人口比、老劳人口比能维系年轻人口的老年支撑力,这是"人口均衡"的重要含义。通过适当鼓励生育和人口迁入补充可以提高老龄化社会的人口支撑力,实现适度老龄化是应对老龄危机的第一战略。
[Abstract]:From the relationship between minority children and aging, this paper discusses the challenges and new ways of China's aging, and points out that China has fallen into the "minority child aging trap" or "ultra-low fertility trap".In the long run, the challenge of China's aging population is the crisis of minority children.The core point of view is that from the perspective of intergenerational population relations, the meaning of "moderate aging" is the ideal aging state in which the old and young ratio and the old labor ratio can maintain intergenerational harmony.To realize the "moderate population aging", we must correct the "intergenerational imbalance" and maintain the "intergenerational equilibrium" from the point of view of population strategy and policy.The harmonious balance of population between generations mainly refers to the moderate ratio of the aged to the young, and the ratio of the aged to the working population can maintain the support of the young population, which is the important meaning of the population balance.The population support of aging society can be improved by appropriately encouraging fertility and population migration supplement, and realizing moderate aging is the first strategy to deal with the aging crisis.
【作者单位】：北京大学人口研究所;
【分类号】：C924.24

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