全面两孩政策下邯郸市城镇育龄夫妇生育意愿研究

发布时间：2018-04-12 22:11

本文选题：全面两孩政策 + 育龄夫妇　；参考：《河北大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：为促进我国人口均衡发展,延缓人口老龄化进程,中共十八届五中全会决定启动全面两孩生育政策,一对夫妇可生育两个孩子。生育政策的影响力有多大,未来人口发展趋势如何,一个重要的预测指标就是生育意愿。本论文以邯郸市为例,选取城镇已婚育龄夫妇作为目标群体进行生育意愿调查研究。由于政策出台时间不长,本研究具有一定领先性和创新性。本论文从生育目的、意愿生育子女数、意愿生育性别、意愿生育时间四个维度全面、系统地分析了调查对象的生育意愿。结果表明,人们的生育目的不再是追求子女的物质效用,而是更加重视子女的精神慰藉效用,而且较少受到周围环境和传统生育观念的影响。在意愿生育子女数方面,普遍希望生育2个孩子,年龄、性别、受教育程度、家庭月收入等个人因素对意愿生育子女数具有一定影响,已婚并育有一孩人群中31-35岁的被调查者二孩生育意愿最强,随着年龄的增大,二孩生育意愿迅速降低。在意愿生育性别方面,性别偏好已不太明显,但超过半数的被调查者希望儿女双全,男性表现出较强的男孩偏好,女性表现出较强的女孩偏好。调查对象的意愿初婚年龄平均在25岁左右,希望在结婚后1-2年内生育子女,即意愿初育年龄在26-27岁之间。论文分析了影响已婚育龄夫妇生育意愿的主要因素。经济因素从收入和支出两方面对适龄人群的生育意愿产生重要影响。当社会角色和家庭角色发生冲突,需要在两者之间进行抉择时,个人发展因素会影响二孩生育意愿。生育政策对生育意愿有一定影响,全面两孩政策顺应民心,众望所归。传统生育观念、孩子的照料问题、养老问题也对生育意愿有一定影响。邯郸市城镇育龄夫妇生育意愿呈现出的更加理性、现代生育观念逐渐形成、性别偏好逐渐减弱、经济因素和个人发展都将影响二孩生育意愿的几大特征。
[Abstract]:In order to promote the balanced development of China's population and delay the aging process of the population, the Fifth Plenary session of the 18th CPC Central Committee decided to launch a comprehensive two-child policy, a couple can have two children.An important predictor of the impact of fertility policy and the population trend in the future is fertility intention.Taking Handan City as an example, this paper selects married couples of childbearing age in cities as target groups to investigate their fertility intentions.As the policy is not long, this study has a certain lead and innovation.In this paper, the author systematically analyzes the fertility intention of the subjects from four dimensions: the purpose of fertility, the number of children willing to bear, the sex of willing to bear, and the time of willing to bear.The results show that the purpose of fertility is no longer to pursue the material utility of children, but to pay more attention to the spiritual comfort utility of children, and is less affected by the surrounding environment and traditional conception of fertility.In terms of the number of children who wish to have children, it is generally hoped to have 2 children. Age, sex, education level, monthly family income and other personal factors have certain influence on the number of children who wish to have children.The two children aged 31-35 years were the strongest among the married and one-child population, and with the increase of age, the second child fertility willingness decreased rapidly.In the aspect of willing to have sex, the gender preference is not obvious, but more than half of the respondents want to have both children, men show a stronger preference for boys and women for strong preference for girls.The mean age of first marriage was about 25 years old, and they hoped to have children within 1-2 years after marriage, that is, the mean age of first childbearing was between 26 and 27 years old.The paper analyzes the main factors that affect the fertility intention of married couples of childbearing age.Economic factors play an important role in the reproductive willingness of the age group in terms of income and expenditure.When there is a conflict between social and family roles, personal development factors may influence the willingness to have children.Fertility policy has certain influence on fertility intention.Traditional fertility concept, child care, pension issues also have a certain impact on fertility intention.The childbearing intention of couples of childbearing age in Handan city is more rational, the modern conception of fertility is gradually formed, the gender preference is gradually weakened, and the economic factors and personal development will affect several characteristics of the desire of the second child.
【学位授予单位】：河北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：C924.21

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