inflowing population net migration of population urbanizatio

  本文关键词：中国人口流动迁移对城市化进程影响的实证分析，，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

中国人口流动迁移对城市化进程影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Impacts of Migration with and Without Hukou Change on China＇s Urbanization

[1] [2]

YAN Yong-hua, GUO Zhi-yi （ College of Economics, Lanzhon University, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China）

兰州大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730000

文章摘要：人口流动迁移是改革开放以来中国经济社会发展变迁和城市化中出现的一个重要现象。基于我国30个省域2002-2012年的空间面板数据,通过构建空间静态与动态模型实证分析了人口流动迁移对城市化进程的影响。研究表明：我国城市化水平存在显著的空间正相关性,整体上有着明显的空间扩散效应;流入人口和流入人口人力资本对我国城市化的影响都很突出,流入人口带来人力资本集聚对城市化水平的影响要大于简单人口数据的集聚;净迁移人口和净迁移人口人力资本对我国城市化水平的影响不是很显著,与我国的户籍制度存在着一定关系,当前的户籍制度限制了居民的迁徙,对城市化发展起着阻碍作用;经济力量仍是我国城市化水平提高的重要驱动力。因此,在推动城市化进程中,除继续发挥经济力量的核心驱动力作用外,更需重视流动迁移人口对城市化的作用。

Abstr：Migration with and without Hukou change is an important phenomenon in the process of economic development and urbanization since the beginning of the opening-up policy. In order to understand the specific impact of migration to urbanization,impacts of migration with and without Hukou change on urbanization are analyzed by building spatial static and dynamic model by using the spatial panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2002 to 2012. The research shows： There is a spatial correlation in urbanization of China,and there is a spatial diffusion effect. Impacts of inflowing population and human capital of inflowing population to the level of urbanization are outstanding,and human capital is more prominent. The positive effect indicates that,the same as inflow population,net population migration can promote the regional urbanization level. However,because of China＇s household registration system,impacts of net migration with Hukou change and human capital of the net migration to the level of urbanization are positive but not significant. The current household registration system limits the migration of people and is not conducive to the development of urbanization. Economic power is still an important driving force of urbanization＇s development. Economic growth and the upgrading of the industrial structure can effectively improve the level of urbanization. Therefore,in the urbanization process,in addition to economic driving force,the role of migration with and without Hukou change should be paid more attention.

文章关键词：

Keyword：:inflowing population net migration of population urbanization spatial effects

课题项目：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“不同功能区域定位下甘肃省人口分布、流动迁移与城镇化发展研究”（编号：14LZUJBWYJ002）

  本文关键词：中国人口流动迁移对城市化进程影响的实证分析，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。