北京出生人口规模变动中的生肖偏好和避讳研究

发布时间：2018-05-12 02:09

本文选题：出生人口规模变动 + 生肖偏好　；参考：《青年研究》2017年06期

【摘要】：利用宏观出生人口数据,从直观比较和指数检验两个层面,探究北京出生人口规模变动过程中是否存在生肖偏好和避讳的现象。结果表明,从出生人口的绝对规模、相对规模和生肖累计出生人口观测,北京出生人口规模在变动过程中出现了羊年出生人口减少和生育率下降的现象。在此基础上,我们运用迈耶尔指数、年龄偏好指数和惠普尔指数从十二生肖整体、单一年份和单个生肖累计这三个角度检验出:在北京出生人口规模变动过程中,十二生肖整体存在轻微的偏好或避讳;单一年份的生肖偏好主要发生在羊年前后的马年和猴年,而生肖避讳主要集中在羊年;同时,单个生肖的偏好或避讳都存在阶段性,改革开放以来生肖偏好和避讳逐渐出现和增强,并在北京常住人口和户籍人口中存在差异。相关政策制定和实施的时点应当考虑到生肖偏好和避讳的影响。
[Abstract]:By using macroscopical birth population data, this paper explores whether there is a phenomenon of zodiac preference and taboo in the process of changing the size of Beijing birth population from two aspects of intuitive comparison and index test. The results show that, from the absolute size of birth population, the relative size of birth population and the cumulative birth population of Chinese zodiac sign, the number of born population in Beijing has decreased in the course of the change of annual birth rate of sheep and the decline of birth rate. On this basis, we use the Mayer Index, Age preference Index and Whipple Index to test them from the following three angles: in the process of changing the size of Beijing's born population, we examine them from three angles: the whole Chinese zodiac, the single year and the accumulation of the single zodiac. The zodiac animal as a whole has slight preferences or taboos; in a single year, it mainly occurs in the year of the horse and the year of the monkey before and after the year of the goat, while the taboo of the animal is concentrated in the year of the goat. At the same time, the preferences or taboos of the individual zodiac animals have stages. Since the reform and opening up, zodiac preference and taboo gradually appeared and strengthened, and there are differences between resident population and household registration population in Beijing. The timing of policy formulation and implementation should take into account the influence of zodiac preferences and taboos.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院社会学研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“人口变动对队列成员福利的影响及政策回应研究”(12CRK016)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：C924.2

【相似文献】