我国人口经济压力定量测度与空间差异研究

发布时间：2018-07-12 16:07

本文选题：人口经济压力 + 动态因子分析　；参考：《西北人口》2014年04期

【摘要】：本文选用2003—2012年人口经济压力相关指标,运用动态因子分析和空间自相关分析方法对我国人口经济压力进行研究。结果表明:第一,2003—2012年间,西藏、贵州、宁夏、云南、青海等经济欠发达地区是我国人口经济压力最大的地区,而北京市、上海市、天津市、江苏省等经济发达地区是我国人口经济压力最小的地区,表明我国人口经济压力存在明显的空间聚集特征;第二,人口经济压力的影响因素:人口生活水平压力人口增长压力人口就业和素质压力,表明人口经济压力与经济发展程度存在非常显著的相关性,因此大力发展经济是减小地区人口经济压力的主要途径之一。落后地区要注重控制人口增长的同时,改变经济增长方式,提高资源利用效率,以达到人口与经济规模协调发展;第三,自2003年以来,我国人口经济压力差异呈现不断扩大趋势,表明我国省域贫富差距越来越大,因此缩小地区间的贫富差异也是一个缓解我国人口经济压力差距过大的主要手段之一。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the economic pressure of population in China is studied by means of dynamic factor analysis and spatial autocorrelation analysis. The results show that from 2003 to 2012, Tibet, Guizhou, Ningxia, Yunnan, Qinghai and other economically underdeveloped areas were the most economically stressed areas in China, while Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, Jiangsu Province and other economically developed regions are the regions with the least population economic pressure in China, which indicates that the population economic pressure in our country has obvious spatial aggregation characteristics. Second, The influencing factors of population economic pressure: population living standard pressure population growth pressure population employment and quality pressure indicate that population economic pressure has a very significant correlation with the degree of economic development. Therefore, vigorously developing the economy is one of the main ways to reduce the regional population economic pressure. Backward areas should pay attention to controlling population growth while changing the mode of economic growth and improving the efficiency of resource utilization in order to achieve a coordinated development between population and economic scale. Third, since 2003, The economic pressure difference of population in China is increasing, which indicates that the gap between the rich and the poor in the province is increasing, so narrowing the gap between the rich and the poor is also one of the main means to alleviate the economic pressure gap of population in our country.
【作者单位】：中国地质大学经济管理学院;宁夏大学资源环境学院;宁夏银行;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金“宁夏回族聚居限制开发生态区生态补偿机制研究”(编号:41361024) 国家自然科学青年基金青年项目“城市集聚与经济增长”(编号:71003088)
【分类号】：C924.2

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