多目标约束下京津冀地区人口功能分区研究

发布时间：2019-01-02 12:41

【摘要】：区域人口空间的合理布局是促进京津冀协同发展的重要支撑。本文在系统分析和综合评价京津冀各地人口发展与土地资源及经济发展关系的基础上,结合区域功能布局定位,在多目标约束下将京津冀地区划分为人口稳定优化区、人口重点集聚区、人口适度增长区和人口限制增长区等四类人口功能分区。进而针对各人口功能区提出差异化的人口引导对策,促进京津冀地区人口的均衡发展:人口稳定优化区要加快疏散中心城区人口向郊区转移,在市域内形成多中心空间发展格局,并引导人口向周边地区转移;人口重点集聚区和人口适度增长区要承接人口稳定优化区过剩人口转移,同时增加城市自身对人口的吸引力;人口限制增长区应严格限制人口总量增长。
[Abstract]:The rational distribution of regional population space is an important support to promote the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. On the basis of systematic analysis and comprehensive evaluation of the relationship between population development, land resources and economic development in various parts of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, and in combination with the location of regional function layout, the Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei regions are divided into population stable and optimized areas under multi-objective constraints. There are four types of population function zoning, namely, population concentration area, population moderate growth area and population restricted growth area. Then, the paper puts forward the differentiated population guidance countermeasures for the population function areas, and promotes the balanced development of the population in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The population stability and optimization area should speed up the population transfer from the central urban area to the suburban area. Forming the multi-center spatial development pattern in the city area and guiding the population to transfer to the surrounding area; The population concentration area and the moderate population growth area should undertake the surplus population transfer in the population stable optimization area and increase the attraction of the city itself to the population, while the population restricted growth area should strictly limit the total population growth.
【作者单位】：北京大学政府管理学院;京津冀协同发展联合创新中心;
【基金】：2015年度北京市社会科学界联合会决策咨询课题《京津冀地区人口功能分区与布局调整研究》(2015SKLJZ015) 2011年度国家自然科学基金项目《我国区域空间结构演化机理、影响因素及其优化研究》(41171099)
【分类号】：C924.2

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