族际通婚对生育水平的影响:来自内蒙古的验证

发布时间：2019-03-23 19:27

【摘要】：新型生育文化及观念在蒙古族居民中已经形成,即使在少数民族地区优惠的生育政策下,蒙古族总和生育率也已经低于汉族和全国平均水平。为了更好地找出这一事实的原因,本文着眼于民族特征和跨族通婚,利用有序Logit Model对蒙古族居民的生育数量、存活数量、男孩数量、女孩数量的影响因素进行估计,发现蒙语表达能力的影响非常不明显,但是蒙语书写能力的作用比较明显。此外,民族特征和通婚特征对生育数量和存活数量的影响明显高于对生育性别的影响程度,对生育男孩的影响高于对生育女孩的影响。蒙古族生育出现持续递减的趋势,对稳定蒙古族生育水平提出了新的要求。
[Abstract]:The new fertility culture and concept has been formed among Mongolian residents, even under the preferential fertility policy in minority areas, the total fertility rate of Mongolian is lower than the average level of Han nationality and the whole country. In order to find out the reasons for this fact better, this paper focuses on the ethnic characteristics and interethnic intermarriage, using ordered Logit Model to estimate the number of births, the number of survivors, the number of boys, the number of girls, and the factors that affect the number of Mongolian residents. It is found that the influence of Mongolian language expression ability is not obvious, but the effect of Mongolian language writing ability is more obvious. In addition, the effects of ethnic characteristics and intermarriage characteristics on the number of births and the number of survival were significantly higher than those on the sex of births, and the effects on boys were higher than those on girls. The continuous decreasing trend of Mongolian fertility puts forward new requirements for stabilizing Mongolian fertility level.
【作者单位】：内蒙古大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然基金青年基金项目:蒙古族生育转变及对其生计选择的作用机理研究(71303102) 2013年高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金联合资助课题:民族地区加快转变经济发展方式与改善民生关系研究:以内蒙古为例(20131501120008) 内蒙古自治区自然基金面上项目:“放开二胎”政策下蒙汉居民生育意愿调整和生育行为比较研究(2015MS0710) 内蒙古自治区高等学校科学研究项目:民族文化传承与现代旅游发展的耦合机制研究:以内蒙古为例(NJZY014)
【分类号】：C92-05

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