住宅价格、人口异质性与城市规模
发布时间：2019-04-01 07:51
【摘要】：城市化作为经济增长的重要引擎,一直是人们关注的重点,但近年来中国住宅价格不断上涨导致的城市生产生活成本的持续攀升,正引起人们对房价是否会限制城市人口流入的担忧。而现有研究鲜有考虑不同类型人口下的房价对城市人口规模的影响,而忽略这种人口异质性的研究结论及相关政策可能存在较大偏差。基于此,将城市人口按户籍所在地和从事产业不同进行划分,利用中国2006-2014年206个城市样本数据进行了研究。研究发现:控制收入、教育医疗等因素后,本地居民对房价比较敏感,而外来人口并不敏感,而对实际收入比较敏感;房价提高会促进第二产业人口向第三产业人口的转变;进一步从不同地区来看,中西部地区房价与城市规模正相关,但东部地区房价上涨对城市人口具有明显的"挤出效应"。从而,住宅价格的相关政策应关注人口异质性和区域差异,合理对待房价上涨问题。
[Abstract]:Urbanization, as an important engine of economic growth, has always been the focus of people's attention. However, in recent years, the rising housing prices in China have led to a sustained rise in the cost of production and living in cities. Is raising concerns about whether house prices will limit the inflow of urban population. However, few of the existing studies have considered the impact of housing prices on the size of the urban population under different types of population, but the conclusions and relevant policies that ignore the heterogeneity of the population may have a large deviation. Based on this, the urban population is divided according to the location of household registration and the industry, and the data of 206 cities in China from 2006 to 2014 are used to carry out the research. It is found that after controlling income, education and medical treatment, the local residents are sensitive to the housing price, but the foreign population is not sensitive to the real income, and the increase of the house price will promote the transformation from the secondary industry population to the tertiary industry population. Further, from different regions, the central and western regions house prices are positively related to the size of the city, but the eastern area housing prices increase has an obvious "crowding-out effect" on the urban population. Therefore, the relative policy of housing price should pay attention to the heterogeneity of population and regional difference, and treat the rising of house price reasonably.
【作者单位】： 上海师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71573178) 上海师范大学第九期产业经济学重点学科资助项目
【分类号】：C924.2;F299.23
[Abstract]:Urbanization, as an important engine of economic growth, has always been the focus of people's attention. However, in recent years, the rising housing prices in China have led to a sustained rise in the cost of production and living in cities. Is raising concerns about whether house prices will limit the inflow of urban population. However, few of the existing studies have considered the impact of housing prices on the size of the urban population under different types of population, but the conclusions and relevant policies that ignore the heterogeneity of the population may have a large deviation. Based on this, the urban population is divided according to the location of household registration and the industry, and the data of 206 cities in China from 2006 to 2014 are used to carry out the research. It is found that after controlling income, education and medical treatment, the local residents are sensitive to the housing price, but the foreign population is not sensitive to the real income, and the increase of the house price will promote the transformation from the secondary industry population to the tertiary industry population. Further, from different regions, the central and western regions house prices are positively related to the size of the city, but the eastern area housing prices increase has an obvious "crowding-out effect" on the urban population. Therefore, the relative policy of housing price should pay attention to the heterogeneity of population and regional difference, and treat the rising of house price reasonably.
【作者单位】： 上海师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71573178) 上海师范大学第九期产业经济学重点学科资助项目
【分类号】：C924.2;F299.23
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