遗产地旅游发展利益网络治理研究——基于指数随机图模型、以农业文化遗产地云南哈尼梯田为例

发布时间：2018-07-02 09:35

本文选题：指数随机图模型 + 农业文化遗产地　；参考：《经济管理》2017年02期

【摘要】：遗产地旅游利益相关者之间的纠纷与冲突问题是阻碍旅游可持续发展的重要因素,寻找疏解利益纠纷与冲突的策略,对于遗产地旅游发展来说意义重大。本文运用指数随机图模型,以全球重要农业文化遗产地云南元阳哈尼梯田为例,建立了Markov随机图模型和高阶随机图模型,运用MCMC方法对两个模型参数进行模拟估计,并以样本标准误差和t统计值来判断模型参数达到聚敛的程度,以期寻找最优的估计模型。通过数据分析,高阶模型的聚敛情况要好于Markov模型,因此,最终选择高阶模型。依据高阶模型的网络核心—边缘趋势、重叠传递性趋势或凝聚子群趋势、受中间人控制或协调趋势参数估计结论,提出了利益网络治理建议。
[Abstract]:The disputes and conflicts between stakeholders of tourism in heritage areas are the important factors hindering the sustainable development of tourism. It is of great significance for tourism development of heritage sites to seek strategies to resolve disputes and conflicts of interests. In this paper, the Markov random graph model and the high order random graph model are established by using the exponential random graph model and the Hani terraced field in Yunnan, an important agricultural and cultural heritage region of the world. The parameters of the two models are simulated and estimated by using MCMC method. The standard error of sample and t statistic value are used to judge the degree of convergence of model parameters in order to find the best estimation model. The data analysis shows that the convergence of higher order model is better than that of Markov model. Based on the results of the core-edge trend, overlapping transitive trend or coacervation subgroup trend of the higher-order model, and the estimation of the trend parameters controlled by the middleman or coordinated, some suggestions on the governance of the interest network are put forward.
【作者单位】：北京联合大学旅游学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目“社会网络视角下农业文化遗产保护与旅游发展中的社区利益协调研究——以云南哈尼梯田为例”(14YJCZH129) 国家自然科学基金项目“农业文化遗产地旅游社区灾害风险认知及适应过程研究:以云南红河为例”(41201580) 国家旅游局科研项目“旅游业与文化遗产地社区发展中的利益网络治理研究——以云南红河哈尼梯田为例”(16TACG014)
【分类号】：F592.7;G127

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