2010-2014年浙江省台州市恶性肿瘤死亡趋势分析

发布时间：2018-05-23 09:06

本文选题：恶性肿瘤 + 死亡　；参考：《中国卫生统计》2017年01期

【摘要】：目的分析2010-2014年台州市恶性肿瘤死亡趋势,为肿瘤防治工作提供科学依据。方法根据2010-2014年台州市恶性肿瘤死亡监测数据计算年龄别性别死亡率,以及以中国标准化人口年龄调整的标化死亡率。采用Joinpoint Regression Program 4.2软件估算年度变化百分比,分析2010-2014年恶性肿瘤死亡率的变化趋势。结果恶性肿瘤是2010-2014年台州市居民首位死亡原因,年均死亡率为168.17/10万,标化死亡率为155.49/10万,2010-2014年标化死亡率下降了8.87%,平均年降幅2.7%。男女死亡率性别比为2.01:1。35岁以后肿瘤死亡率随年龄的增加而升高,白血病占0~14岁恶性肿瘤死亡的50%,肝癌分别占15~44岁组和45~59岁组恶性肿瘤死亡的33.76%和31.63%,肺癌占60岁以上组恶性肿瘤死亡的32.81%。台州市2010-2014年肝癌、胃癌和食管癌标化死亡率分别下降了18.03%、20.68%和20.37%,平均年降幅分别达到6.1%、7.1%和7.3%。宫颈癌、前列腺癌、胰腺癌、乳腺癌和肠癌标化死亡率呈上升趋势,但差异无统计学意义。结论恶性肿瘤是影响台州市居民健康的主要因素,虽然标化死亡率呈下降趋势,但由于人口老龄化加剧,粗死亡率未表现出下降趋势,需加强长期监测,防控不容轻视。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the death trend of malignant tumor in Taizhou from 2010 to 2014 and to provide scientific basis for cancer prevention and treatment. Methods Age-sex mortality and standardized mortality adjusted by the age of Chinese standardized population were calculated according to the cancer mortality surveillance data of Taizhou from 2010 to 2014. Joinpoint Regression Program 4.2 software was used to estimate the percentage of annual change, and the trend of malignant tumor mortality was analyzed from 2010 to 2014. Results malignant tumor was the first cause of death in Taizhou from 2010 to 2014, with an average annual mortality rate of 168.17% / 100 000 and a standardized mortality rate of 155.49% / 100 000. In 2010-2014, the standardized mortality rate decreased by 8.87%, with an average annual decline of 2.7%. The sex ratio of male to female mortality was 2.01: 1.35 years old and the cancer mortality rate increased with the increase of age. Leukemia accounted for 50 deaths of malignant tumors aged 14 years old, liver cancer accounted for 33.76% and 31.63% of malignant tumor deaths in 1544 and 45- 59 years old group, and lung cancer accounted for 32.81% of malignant tumor deaths in patients over 60 years old. The standardized mortality rates of liver cancer, gastric cancer and esophageal cancer in Taizhou from 2010 to 2014 decreased by 18.0320. 68% and 20. 37%, respectively. The average annual rate of decline was 6. 1% and 7. 3%, respectively. The standardized mortality rates of cervical cancer, prostate cancer, pancreatic cancer, breast cancer and bowel cancer increased, but there was no significant difference. Conclusion malignant tumor is the main factor affecting the health of Taizhou residents. Although the standardized mortality rate is decreasing, the crude mortality rate does not show a downward trend due to the aggravation of population aging. It is necessary to strengthen long-term monitoring and prevention and control should not be ignored.
【作者单位】：台州市疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病防制科;中国疾病预防控制中心教育培训处;中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心;复旦大学公共卫生学院;
【基金】：浙江省151人才项目(台人社发[2014]220号) 浙江省医坛新秀项目资助(浙卫发[2013]245号)
【分类号】：R73-31

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