户籍制度视角下的江苏省人口时空格局响应

发布时间：2018-03-28 05:21

本文选题：人口时空格局　切入点：户籍制度　出处：《热带地理》2013年04期

【摘要】：以江苏省为例,选取人口密度为基础数据,以县域为研究单元,通过空间自相关、重心迁移以及注入脉冲响应分析,刻画江苏省人口时空格局与户籍制度之间的时空响应关系及趋势。结果表明:1990-2010年江苏省人口格局整体保持"南高北低"的态势,该现象与社会经济发展水平呈正相关关系;人口密度相似的地区在空间上呈集聚分布,并呈明显的沿江化特征;各县市对户籍制度改革的响应具有地域性,南北响应差异逐渐缩小;人口空间格局对户籍制度的响应具有滞后性,速度呈现出由加快到平稳的态势。在此基础上,根据研究结论提出3点建议:第一,在改革思路上实现"两保两新",阶梯式、差别化赋予权利;其次,积极推进苏北地区的社会保障体系改革;最后,通过产业发展上的"以业控人"和城市发展上的合理规划、科学布局防止流动人口加重"城市病"。
[Abstract]:Taking Jiangsu Province as an example, the population density is selected as the basic data, the county area is taken as the research unit, and the spatial autocorrelation, barycenter migration and impulse response analysis are carried out. This paper describes the spatio-temporal response relationship and trend between population space-time pattern and household registration system in Jiangsu Province. The results show that the population pattern of Jiangsu Province from 1990 to 2010 maintained the trend of "South high and north low", which is positively related to the level of social and economic development. The areas with similar population density have the characteristics of agglomeration and distribution along the river, the responses of counties and cities to the reform of household registration system are regional, and the differences between north and south gradually decrease. The response of the population spatial pattern to the household registration system is lagging behind, and the speed is changing from quickening to steady. On this basis, according to the conclusions of the study, three suggestions are put forward: first, to realize "two guarantees and two new", step by step, in the way of reform. Secondly, we should actively promote the reform of social security system in northern Jiangsu. Finally, we can prevent the floating population from aggravating "urban disease" through the rational planning of industrial development and urban development.
【作者单位】：南京师范大学地理科学学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(41171133) 高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金(20123207110017)
【分类号】：D631.42

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