暴恐事件网络舆情风险预警研究

发布时间：2018-05-02 03:03

本文选题：暴恐事件 + 网络舆情　；参考：《情报杂志》2016年06期

【摘要】：[目的/意义]为提高暴恐事件网络舆情决策的科学性及时效性,实现防御性预警,夺取反恐舆论战及心理战的主动权和话语权。[方法/过程]在研究暴恐事件及网络舆情影响因素的基础上,构建了包含暴恐事件、信息特性、媒体报道、网民反应四个维度的暴恐事件网络舆情风险预警指标体系,并运用层次分析法、ABC分类法对风险指标进行权重计算及风险评估。[结果/结论]为舆情风险预警提供符合实战需求以及可操作性强的重点监测目标,获得舆情高风险因素,并结合高风险因素及反恐现实需求提出舆情应对策略,以期为暴恐事件网络舆情预警处置提供有价值的参考。
[Abstract]:[objective / significance] in order to improve the scientific and timely decision-making of network public opinion about violent terrorist incidents, to realize defensive early warning, to seize the initiative and voice of public opinion war and psychological war against terrorism. [method / process] on the basis of studying the influencing factors of violent and terrorist events and network public opinion, this paper constructs a warning index system of network public opinion risk of violent and terrorist incidents, which includes four dimensions: violent terrorist events, information characteristics, media reports, and Internet users' reactions. The AHP and ABC classification are used to calculate the weight and evaluate the risk. [results / conclusion] to provide the key monitoring target for the early warning of public opinion risk in accordance with the actual combat demand and the maneuverability, to obtain the high risk factors of public opinion, and to put forward the public opinion coping strategy combining with the high risk factors and the realistic demand of anti-terrorism. In order to provide valuable reference for violent terrorist event network public opinion early warning.
【作者单位】：中国人民武装警察部队学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“公共安全视角下网络舆情风险建模与对策研究”(编号:15CXW015);国家社会科学基金重大项目“我国网络社会治理研究”(编号:14ZDA063) 全国统计科学研究计划重点项目“大数据背景下网络舆情风险预警研究”(编号:2014LZ10) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“大数据背景下微博舆情系统建模与引导机制研究”(编号:14YJC630055) 河北省社会科学发展研究课师题“基于涉恐舆情综合研判的反恐情报预警研究”(编号:201604120504) 廊坊市哲学社会科学研究课题“涉恐网络舆情风险预警与对策研究”(编号:2016016)
【分类号】：G206;D631.4

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