基于权利分布风险测度的工程建设重大突发事件大群体应急决策方法

发布时间：2018-05-25 01:43

  本文选题：工程建设 + 突发事件　； 参考：《科技进步与对策》2017年09期

【摘要】：针对大型工程项目突发事件应急决策参与者权利分布导致的风险,提出了一种大群体风险应急决策方法。首先,利用信息熵理论,提出了一种测量大群体决策风险的测度模型;其次,对参与决策的大群体在决策过程中由于权利分布引起的风险进行了定量计算;然后,利用风险大小确定最终偏好信息的集结结果,对应急方案进行排序选优。最后,通过工程项目建设中仓库爆炸突发事件案例分析,验证了该方法的有效性。
[Abstract]:In view of the risk caused by the rights distribution of the participants in the emergency decision-making of large engineering projects, a large group risk emergency decision making method is proposed. Firstly, using the information entropy theory, a measurement model is proposed to measure the risk of large group decision-making. Secondly, the risk caused by the distribution of rights in the decision-making process is calculated quantitatively. Using the risk size to determine the final preference information aggregation results, the emergency schemes are sorted and selected. Finally, the effectiveness of the method is verified by the case analysis of the explosion accident in the construction of the engineering project.
【作者单位】： 中南大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71671189);国家自然科学基金重点项目(71431006) 中南大学创新驱动计划项目(2015CX010)
【分类号】：C934;D631.43
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本文编号：1931536