基于价值链视角的上海市生产性服务业与制造业互动关系检验——基于VAR的动态实证分析

发布时间：2018-03-09 02:29

本文选题：价值链　切入点：生产性服务业　出处：《物流工程与管理》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文中从价值链角度出发,刻画了两者通过结构性嵌入和关系性嵌入的价值链互动关系,并立足于上海市生产性服务业与制造业现状,构建了基于价值链视角的上海市生产性服务业与制造业互动关系演进的VAR模型,基于1986-2014年间的产值数据的实证分析发现:上海市生产性服务业价值链各个环节与制造业间存在长期协整关系,具体而言,处于上游的金融业与商务服务、中游的信息传输以及下游交通运输、仓储和邮政业在与制造业价值链的相互嵌入互动下,对制造业增加值都有着长期的正向影响,生产性服务业整体对制造业增加值的影响占了46%,占了较大一部分比重,而其对自身的影响占54%。基于上述结论,提出了促进上海市产业有效互动的政策建议。
[Abstract]:From the point of view of value chain, this paper describes the interactive relationship between them through structural embedding and relational embedding, and based on the present situation of producer services and manufacturing industry in Shanghai. The VAR model of the interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry in Shanghai is constructed based on the value chain perspective. Based on the empirical analysis of the output data from 1986 to 2014, it is found that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between each link of the producer services value chain and the manufacturing industry in Shanghai, specifically, the upstream financial and business services. The information transmission in the middle reaches and the downstream transportation, storage and post industry have a long-term positive impact on the manufacturing value added under the interaction with the manufacturing value chain. The influence of producer service industry on manufacturing value added is 46%, which accounts for a large proportion, while its influence on itself is 54. Based on the above conclusion, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the effective interaction of industry in Shanghai.
【作者单位】：上海理工大学管理学院;
【分类号】：F719;F427

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