基于灰色关联模型的能源消费与经济增长的关系——以新疆为例（英文）

发布时间：2018-05-05 11:23

本文选题：能源消费 + 经济增长　；参考：《中国科学院大学学报》2017年05期

【摘要】：深入了解能源消费与经济增长的关系对挖掘新疆节能空间具有重要意义。基于2005—2014年新疆能源消费与经济增长相关数据,运用灰色关联分析,分别对新疆各产业能源消费和能源消费种类与经济增长的相关性进行实证分析。结果表明:1)不同产业能源消费与经济增长关联程度差异显著,其中工业与建筑业二者的能源消费与经济增长的关联度相同且最大。2)在工业能源消费中,制造业能源消费与经济增长的关联程度最大,且其占工业能源消费的比重最大。3)不同能源消费种类与经济增长的关联度也显著不同,其中煤炭能源消费量与经济增长的关联度最高,石油能源消费量与经济增长的关联度最低。这说明新疆的经济增长属于要素投入型的经济增长方式,对能源的依赖性较强;同时,由于要考虑国家战略需求,新疆的能源消费种类结构存在一定程度的不合理性。本工作基于对新疆产业能源消费、能源消费种类与经济增长的研究结论,给出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Understanding the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is of great significance to excavate energy saving space in Xinjiang. Based on the data of energy consumption and economic growth in Xinjiang from 2005 to 2014, the correlation between energy consumption and energy consumption and economic growth in various industries in Xinjiang is analyzed by using grey relational analysis. The results show that the correlation degree between energy consumption and economic growth in different industries is significantly different, and the correlation degree between energy consumption and economic growth in industry and construction industry is the same and the correlation degree between energy consumption and economic growth is the highest. The energy consumption of manufacturing industry is most closely related to economic growth, and its proportion to industrial energy consumption is the largest. 3) the correlation degree between different kinds of energy consumption and economic growth is also significantly different. The correlation degree between coal energy consumption and economic growth is the highest, and the correlation between petroleum energy consumption and economic growth is the lowest. This indicates that the economic growth of Xinjiang belongs to the mode of economic growth based on factor input, and it is strongly dependent on energy, and at the same time, the structure of energy consumption in Xinjiang has some irrationality due to the consideration of national strategic demand. Based on the conclusions of the research on industrial energy consumption, energy consumption types and economic growth in Xinjiang, the corresponding policy recommendations are given.
【作者单位】：中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所;中国科学院大学;新疆大学资源与环境科学学院;
【基金】：中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所所长基金(Y475061001) 新疆财经大学校级科研基金一般项目(2016XYB001)资助
【分类号】：F126.1;F127;F426.2

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