航天研制项目经费管理风险控制研究

发布时间：2018-03-31 07:08

本文选题：航天研制项目　切入点：经费管理　出处：《中国科学院大学(中国科学院工程管理与信息技术学院)》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：航天研制项目通常存在投入巨大、技术先进程度高,研制周期长的特点,决定了航天研制项目本身是一种高风险、高精尖、高要求的研制工作,如何正确的识别、分析出研制项目中可能影响成败的各种风险因素十分重要。目前航天研制项目通常存在一个误区就是仅仅关注研制初期中的技术风险及市场风险,但忽略了研制过程中各阶段的风险管控,由此导致研制过程中因为风险管控不利,造成研制经费出现损失,最终影响项目研制成败。如何有效的识别和评估研制项目过程中的经费风险因素,建立航天研制项目过程中经费风险评估模型及评估体系,具有重要的现实意义。本文以基于航天研制项目过程中经费风险监控与处置为研究对象。首先介绍了航天研制项目的意义与特点,分析了目前研制项目存在的问题,随后对航天研制项目过程中的可能出现的经费风险因素进行了整理与剖析,确定了航天研制项目研制过程中经费风险因素。其次,利用层次分析法、模糊综合评判法对研制项目过程中经费风险因素进行综合评定,建立航天研制项目全过程经费风险评估体系。再次提出了航天研制项目全过程经费风险管理的基本思路,并从研制经费管理标准化、系统化以及建立风险预警体系等方面为航天研制单位提供了具体的全过程经费风险管理措施,最后利用某海一号项目进行验证理论正确性和措施有效性。
[Abstract]:Space research projects usually have the characteristics of huge investment, high technological advanced level and long development cycle, which determines that the aerospace development project itself is a kind of high risk, high precision, high demand research work, how to identify correctly. It is very important to analyze the various risk factors that may affect the success or failure of the development project. At present, there is usually a misunderstanding in the space research project that only pays attention to the technical risk and the market risk in the initial stage of development. However, the risk control in all stages of the development process is ignored, which leads to the loss of development funds due to the unfavorable risk control in the development process. How to effectively identify and evaluate the risk factors in the development of the project, and establish the model and evaluation system of the risk evaluation of the funding in the process of the aerospace development project, and finally affect the success or failure of the development of the project. It is of great practical significance. This paper takes the monitoring and disposal of fund risk in the process of aerospace development project as the research object. Firstly, the significance and characteristics of the space research project are introduced, and the problems existing in the current research project are analyzed. After that, the possible risk factors in the process of space research and development are sorted out and analyzed, and the funding risk factors in the process of development of space research and development are determined. Secondly, the analytic hierarchy process is used to analyze the risk factors in the process of space research and development. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to evaluate the risk factors of the whole process of the research and development project, and the risk assessment system of the whole process of the space research project is established. The basic idea of the risk management of the whole process of the space research project is put forward again. And from the aspects of standardization, systematization and establishment of risk early warning system for the development of funds, it provides specific measures for the whole process of fund risk management for aerospace research and development units. Finally, a certain Hai-1 project is used to verify the correctness of the theory and the effectiveness of the measures.
【学位授予单位】：中国科学院大学(中国科学院工程管理与信息技术学院)
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.5;F406.7

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