地方铁路SP-BZ段铁路项目经济效益评价研究

发布时间：2018-04-27 08:44

本文选题：经济效益评价 + 财务分析　；参考：《青岛大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：铁路是国民经济大动脉和关键基础设施,能够促进沿线地方经济的发展,完善区域网结构和综合交通运输体系,同时铁路建设也是对国家经济转型深化落实的重要措施。铁路项目的建设具有投资大、回收期长且收益低的特点,相应的对铁路项目建设时的经济效益评价提出了新要求,提高财务评价的可靠性和准确性,以降低投资风险提高经济效益。经济效益评价本着技术研究层面的分析的目的,针对拟建设项目中的问题,对项目运营期的效果进行估测,对可行方案进行优选,达到合理利用资源,提高社会和经济效益。本文着重对地方铁路SP-BZ段铁路项目进行了经济效益评价,首先介绍了该项目的情况,其次对该项目的意义、国内外可行性研究的发展状况以及文中运用的方法和内容进行了介绍。对该项目建设的必要性进行了论述,地方铁路SP-BZ段铁路项目的修建,可促进鲁中地区经济发展,在山东省以及环渤海经济区国民经济的发展中都将会发挥积极作用,是实现本地区小康社会的基础设施,在国民经济发展中具有重要的现实意义。紧接着对该项目的市场和可行性进行了分析,并全面、系统地分析了项目的资金回收状况,最后进行综合分析评价经济效益,得出该项目工程的可行性结论。通过项目财务评价分析,本项目全部投资财务内部收益率和资本金财务内部收益率分别为6.10%、3.07%,均大于铁路基准收益率的水平(3%),而且项目投资财务净现值大于0,项目财务评价指标良好。本项目经济内部收益率(EIRR)为18.40%,大于8%;累计经济净现值(ENPV)为114583万元,大于零。敏感性分析结果表明本项目抗风险能力强,因此从国民经济角度分析,本项目可行。其中的研究思路与方法,为类似工程的可行性研究提供借鉴作用。
[Abstract]:Railway is the main artery and key infrastructure of national economy, which can promote the development of local economy along the line, perfect the structure of regional network and the comprehensive transportation system. At the same time, railway construction is also an important measure to deepen the national economic transformation. The construction of railway projects has the characteristics of large investment, long payback period and low income. Accordingly, new requirements are put forward for the evaluation of economic benefits during the construction of railway projects, and the reliability and accuracy of financial evaluation are improved. In order to reduce investment risk and improve economic efficiency. In view of the problems in the project to be built, the evaluation of economic benefit is aimed at the purpose of technical research analysis, and the effect of the project operation period is estimated, and the feasible scheme is selected to make rational use of resources and to improve the social and economic benefits. This paper focuses on the economic benefit evaluation of the local railway SP-BZ section railway project. Firstly, the paper introduces the situation of the project, and secondly, the significance of the project. The development of feasibility study at home and abroad and the methods and contents used in this paper are introduced. The necessity of the construction of the project is discussed. The construction of the local railway SP-BZ section railway project can promote the economic development of the central Shandong region, and will play an active role in the development of the national economy of Shandong Province and the Bohai Sea Economic Zone. It is the infrastructure to realize the well-off society in this area and has important practical significance in the development of national economy. Then, the market and feasibility of the project are analyzed, and the fund recovery situation of the project is analyzed comprehensively and systematically. Finally, the economic benefit is comprehensively analyzed and evaluated, and the feasibility conclusion of the project is obtained. Through the analysis of project financial evaluation, The financial internal rate of return and the internal rate of return of capital are 6.10 and 3.07, respectively, which are higher than the level of the railway benchmark rate of return, and the net present value of project investment is greater than 0, and the financial evaluation index of the project is good. The economic internal rate of return (EIRR) of the project is 18.40, which is greater than 8. The cumulative net present value of ENPV is 1.14583 billion yuan, more than zero. The sensitivity analysis results show that the project has strong ability to resist risks, so the project is feasible from the point of view of national economy. The research ideas and methods provide reference for the feasibility study of similar projects.
【学位授予单位】：青岛大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F532.3;F530.68

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