招远市中医医院新建项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-01-15 03:04

本文关键词：招远市中医医院新建项目风险管理研究　出处：《中国海洋大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：现代项目管理引入不同的风险管理技术,应用于各异的项目领域,相较于传统的风险分析技术,更多的定量化方法得以运用。经验性的分析虽在项目风险管理中占有重要地位,但是与数据和定量测算方法的结合使得风险管理日臻完善。本文在项目风险管理理论基础之上,以招远市中医医院新建项目为具体案例,按照该项目建设背景与设计理念、内容与规模、建设条件及区域环境以及建设周期与实施计划,对该项目的风险管理活动进行研究。首先,对招远市中医医院新建项目风险进行识别,构建了风险识别流程,选用德尔菲法,通过调查征询相关领域的专家,提取了该项目的五个主要风险因素指标,并构建了风险因素的递阶层次结构,为下文风险评价指标体系的构建提供基础和依据。其次,对招远市中医医院新建项目风险进行评价。运用层次分析法对指标的权重进行测算,构建了基于隶属度的模糊矩阵,通过模糊矩阵计算得到了招远市中医医院新建项目风险综合评估结果。风险评价的结果表明,该项目整体风险处于一般水平,项目风险处于可控范围之内。最后,从项目的质量风险、安全风险、成本风险、资金风险和市场风险五个角度设计该项目的风险应对策略与方案。在研究方法上,本文综合运用文献归纳法、调查访谈法、层次分析法、模糊综合评价等研究方法,收集有关医院建设项目风险管理方面的资料,对医院建设项目风险的相关理论进行归纳分析,针对招远市中医医院新建项目可能出现的风险问题,对该项目负责人、部分利益相关人、风险管理专家、项目经理人、医院管理人员等进行访谈与调查,对相关信息进行进一步的收集与整理,将定性研究与定量研究有机结合,提高了风险管理的效率与质量。本文主要的创新之处在于以招远市中医医院新建项目区别于普通建设项目,在医院的社会属性作用下,该项目在风险识别时,较普通工程项目,其安全与质量风险占有较大的比重；本文在风险识别的基础上,构建了适用于医院建设项目的风险评价指标体系,并将层次分析及模糊综合评价应用到风险评估之中,克服了以往风险评价单纯从定性角度进行带来的局限性。
[Abstract]:The introduction of risk management technology of modern project management, applied to different areas of the project, risk analysis technology compared with the traditional, more quantitative methods to be used. Although empirical analysis plays an important role in the risk management of the project, but combined with the data and quantitative calculation methods make the risk management on the basis of improving. Based on the theory of project risk management, to create a new project in Zhaoyuan Chinese medicine hospital as an example, according to the background of the project construction and design concept, content and scale, construction conditions and regional environment, construction period and implementation plan, research on the project risk management activities. First of all, the new Chinese Medicine Hospital of Zhaoyuan city project risk identify, build the risk identification process, using Delphi method, through investigation and consultation with relevant experts in the field, from the five main risks of the project Factors, and constructs a hierarchy of risk factors, and provide the basis for the construction of the evaluation index system of the following risk. Secondly, the new Chinese Medicine Hospital of Zhaoyuan city project risk evaluation. Using AHP to calculate the index, constructs the fuzzy membership matrix based on fuzzy matrix is calculated by the new Chinese Medicine Hospital of Zhaoyuan city project risk comprehensive assessment results. The risk assessment results show that the general level in the overall risk of the project, the project risk in the controllable range. Finally, from the project quality risk, security risk, cost risk, design risk coping strategies and plan of the project five aspects of capital risk and market risk in research methods, this paper uses literature analysis method, interview method, AHP, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method research, collect relevant The hospital construction project risk management information theory related to the hospital construction project risk analysis, the risk for new project of Zhaoyuan Hospital of traditional Chinese medicine, may appear, in charge of the project, part of the stakeholders, risk management experts, project managers, hospital management personnel interviews and investigation, the relevant information for further collection and sorting, combining qualitative research and quantitative research, improve the quality and efficiency of risk management. The main innovation of this paper is to build a new project in Zhaoyuan City Hospital of traditional Chinese medicine is different from ordinary construction projects, in the social attribute function of the hospital, in the project risk identification, compared with the ordinary project the safety and quality risk, a large proportion of this paper; on the basis of risk identification, construction for hospital construction project risk evaluation index The system has applied the analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to the risk assessment, which overcomes the limitation that the previous risk assessment simply brings from the qualitative angle.

【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TU71

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