天津专用汽车产业园标准厂房项目建设风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-02-27 15:09

本文关键词： 风险管理建设风险层次分析法模糊综合评价法　出处：《中国海洋大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着环渤海地区汽车产业群日益壮大,标准厂房作为产业转移的有效载体,其项目建设在提高土地集约利用水平,优化产业结构,促进中小企业发展和推动产业集群发展方面起着重要作用,其项目建设具有十分重要的意义。但在市场竞争中面临的不确定性存在于项目建设的各个环节,使项目处于风险环境之中。建设项目中存在的环境风险、组织风险、经济管理风险等往往不会作为一类风险或者一种风险单独出现,因此,对项目进行合理的风险识别、分析、评价与应对是必要的。论文围绕汽车产业园标准厂房项目建设风险管理这一主线,针对项目建设过程中可能存在的各种不确定性因素,拟采取多学科知识和方法相交叉、定性和定量相结合的方法、模型化方法进行研究。论文绪论介绍了课题的研究背景、研究意义以及工程项目风险管理国内外研究现状,从而提出本文的研究思路及研究内容,构建本文的研究框架。第一章详述了标准厂房项目建设风险及风险管理的相关概念,以为之后的研究做铺垫。第二章介绍标准厂房项目的基本情况,包括本项目建设背景、必要性,项目区位,项目建设内容、项目实施进度、投资情况、主要经济指标等。第三章到第五章按照风险管理的一般流程,以标准厂房建设项目为实例,对各种风险进行识别、分析、评价,并以此提出相应的应对措施和监控措施。第六章对全文的研究进行总结,并对进一步的研究方向提出展望。本文是建设项目风险管理的实例研究,它对天津专业汽车产业园标准厂房项目建设过程中存在的风险进行了管理研究,将专家调查法、层次分析法和模糊评价法引入建设项日风险评价中,使评价过程更具条理化和层次化。利用层次分析法的流程和步骤来确定本项目风险评价指标体系的指标权重,在此基础上,结合模糊评价法对各个项目阶段的风险进行评价并对项目风险进行综合评价。其中评价过程中使用的指标权重及风险等级采用专家调查法确定
[Abstract]:With the increasing growth of automobile industry cluster around Bohai Sea, the standard factory building as an effective carrier of industrial transfer, its project construction is to improve the level of intensive land use, optimize the industrial structure, Promoting the development of small and medium-sized enterprises and promoting the development of industrial clusters plays an important role, and its project construction is of great significance. However, the uncertainty in the market competition exists in all aspects of project construction. The environmental risk, organizational risk, economic management risk and so on in the construction project do not appear as a kind of risk or a kind of risk alone, therefore, the reasonable risk identification and analysis of the project are carried out. It is necessary to evaluate and deal with it. This paper focuses on the main line of risk management in the construction of standard factory building in automobile industry park, aiming at various uncertain factors that may exist in the process of construction of the project, and proposes to adopt multi-disciplinary knowledge and methods. The introduction of this paper introduces the research background of the subject, the significance of the research and the domestic and foreign research status of the project risk management, and puts forward the research ideas and research contents of this paper. The first chapter elaborates the related concepts of the construction risk and risk management of the standard factory building project, and makes the groundwork for the later research. Chapter two introduces the basic situation of the standard factory building project, including the background of the project construction. Necessity, project location, project construction content, project implementation progress, investment situation, main economic indicators, etc. Chapters 3 to 5th take the standard plant construction project as an example according to the general process of risk management, To identify, analyze, evaluate and put forward the corresponding countermeasures and monitoring measures. Chapter 6th summarizes the full text of the study, This paper is a case study of risk management in construction projects. It studies the risks existing in the construction of standard factory buildings in Tianjin professional automobile industry park. AHP and fuzzy evaluation are introduced into the daily risk evaluation of construction items, which makes the evaluation process more orderly and hierarchical. The index weight of the risk evaluation index system of this project is determined by using the process and steps of AHP, on the basis of which, Combined with the fuzzy evaluation method, the risk of each project stage is evaluated and the project risk is evaluated synthetically. The index weight and risk grade used in the evaluation process are determined by the expert investigation method.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TU71

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