对外直接投资缓解贸易失衡的实证研究——以20世纪80年代日美贸易失衡为例

发布时间：2018-01-05 21:30

本文关键词：对外直接投资缓解贸易失衡的实证研究——以20世纪80年代日美贸易失衡为例　出处：《统计研究》2010年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：当前中国正面临金融危机导致的新一轮贸易摩擦,其产生根源是中国对主要出口国不断加剧的贸易失衡。而传统财政货币和汇率政策对缓解贸易失衡均有一定局限性。许多国际经济学经典模型都指出对外直接投资可能具有减小投资国贸易顺差的作用,同时,一个基于协整技术的贸易差额决定模型证明,日本20世纪80年代中期后的对外直接投资对减小日美贸易顺差具有显著作用。我国可以利用当前人民币升值、外汇储备大量累积和世界范围内的相对宽松货币政策等机遇加快对外直接投资,在促进企业国际化的同时适当缓解贸易失衡以应对贸易摩擦。
[Abstract]:At present, China is facing a new round of trade friction caused by the financial crisis. Its origin is the increasing trade imbalance between China and the major exporters, while the traditional fiscal, monetary and exchange rate policies have some limitations in alleviating the trade imbalance. Many classical models of international economics point out that direct foreign investment is very important. Capital may have the effect of reducing the trade surplus of investment countries. At the same time, a trade balance decision model based on cointegration technology is proved. Japan's foreign direct investment (FDI) after the middle of 1980s plays a significant role in reducing the Japan-US trade surplus. China can take advantage of the current appreciation of the RMB. The accumulation of foreign exchange reserves and the relatively loose monetary policy in the world speed up foreign direct investment, while promoting the internationalization of enterprises, at the same time to alleviate the trade imbalance properly to deal with trade friction.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院;
【分类号】：F837.12
【正文快照】： 一、问题的提出改革开放以来,由于出口能力迅速增长,中国成为世界上遭遇贸易保护最多的国家之一。金融危机发生以后,以美国为代表的各发达国家甚至少数发展中国家纷纷加强了贸易保护。2009年9月的“输美轮胎贸易特保案”以及之后美国对中国出口的无缝钢管、油井管、铜版纸等

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