人民币汇率对就业的影响路径及实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-15 19:32

本文关键词：人民币汇率对就业的影响路径及实证研究　出处：《上海金融》2013年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：汇率作为影响出口的关键变量,其变动将对出口产业产值及就业产生重要影响。本文基于汇率对就业的影响路径,从贸易部门和非贸易部门对人民币实际有效汇率与就业的关系进行实证研究,结果表明,我国贸易部门和非贸易部门的就业与实际有效汇率不论长期还是短期,均存在着协整关系;实际有效汇率的升值会使我国就业减少,反之亦反;并且,实际有效汇率对贸易部门就业的影响程度高于非贸易部门。
[Abstract]:Exchange rate, as a key variable affecting exports, will have an important impact on the output value and employment of export industries. This paper bases on the influence path of exchange rate on employment. This paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between the real effective exchange rate of RMB and employment in the trade and non-trade sectors. The results show that the employment and the effective exchange rate of the trade sector and the non-trade sector in China are in the long run or in the short term. There are cointegration relations; The appreciation of the real effective exchange rate will reduce the employment of our country, and vice versa; Moreover, the real effective exchange rate has a higher impact on employment in the trade sector than in the non-trade sector.
【作者单位】：安徽财经大学金融学院;
【分类号】：F832.6;F249.2;F224
【正文快照】： 新古典经济学认为,经济增长与就业存在着相互影响的“加强效应”,即经济增长能够促进就业,而就业又对经济增长具有促进作用。索罗模型也认为经济增长率与就业增长率趋于一致。因此,研究就业问题对实现一国的经济增长目标具有重要意义。本文将在分析汇率对就业的影响路径基础上

【参考文献】