人民币实际有效汇率影响因素的经验分析

发布时间：2018-03-15 11:48

本文选题：人民币实际有效汇率　切入点：影响因素　出处：《经济社会体制比较》2010年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章基于国际收支平衡关系假定,建立了实际汇率及其决定要素的关系模型。针对我国国情,文章给出了影响人民币实际有效汇率的六个基本因素,并通过经验分析提出了人民币实际汇率决定与变化的作用机制,进而提出了相应的政策建议。研究表明,有多种因素影响到人民币实际汇率的决定,一些因素的长期影响与短期冲击的作用方向和力度并不一致。因此,我国的汇率调整应该慎之又慎。当前,急需研究国外要求人民币升值的理论与经验依据,判断其合理性,这是我国汇率调整的一个重要前提。
[Abstract]:Based on the assumption of balance of payments relationship, the relationship model of real exchange rate and its determinants is established. According to the situation of our country, six basic factors affecting the real effective exchange rate of RMB are given. Through empirical analysis, the paper puts forward the mechanism of determining and changing the real exchange rate of RMB, and then puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations. The research shows that there are many factors that affect the decision of the real exchange rate of RMB. The long-term effects of some factors are not consistent with the direction and intensity of short-term shocks. Therefore, China's exchange rate adjustment should be extremely cautious. At present, there is an urgent need to study the theoretical and empirical basis for RMB appreciation in foreign countries, and to judge its reasonableness. This is our country exchange rate adjusts an important premise.
【作者单位】：澳门理工学院泛珠研究室;
【基金】：澳门理工学院课题“澳门在泛珠三角经济合作中的发展方略”的基础性研究成果
【分类号】：F832.6

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