改革开放以来我国历次通货膨胀的比较分析

发布时间：2018-03-17 01:21

本文选题：通货膨胀　切入点：流动性过剩　出处：《河北大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：通货膨胀普遍存在于全世界的经济运行中，是一种复杂的社会经济现象，而且会严重影响到宏观经济的运行与发展。因此，在世界经济金融领域中，各国学者们都非常重视对通货膨胀的分析研究。改革开放以来，我国社会经济发展步入新的阶段，我国经济迅速发展，人民生活水平不断提高，市场经济体制也逐渐走上轨道。但是在改革开放以后，我国在经济获得飞速增长的同时也发生了五次或严重或温和的通货膨胀，而且每次通货膨胀都对我国经济的发展和人民的生活产生了很多不利的影响。因此，，总结我国历次通货膨胀的现象、原因及对策，分析我国现在通货膨胀所具有的特殊性，针对我国本轮通货膨胀所具有的自身的特点，借鉴以往治理通货膨胀的经验，提出有利于抑制通货膨胀的对策措施，对有效防止我国经济经历高增长、高衰退，促进我国经济的健康稳定发展和确实提高人民的生活水平具有十分重要的意义。本文首先分析了通货膨胀的定义及其相关的理论，认识到通货膨胀的发生是由各种方面的因素共同作用引起的。然后介绍了改革开放以来我国所经历的历次通货膨胀的概况及引发我国历次通货膨胀产生的原因，并对历次通货膨胀的现象及原因进行了对比分析。我国历次通货膨胀的发生都伴随有居民消费价格指数（CPI）、工业品出厂价格指数(PPI)和GDP平减指数的连续上升。虽然每次通货膨胀的原因都不一样，但大部分都涉及到总需求、生产成本、货币供给、经济结构的因素。但我国发生的2007年至今的通货膨胀又具有其自身独特的特点：外部性因素及结构性因素对我国本轮的通货膨胀产生很大的影响，所以本文分析研究了外部性因素及结构性因素对我国本轮通货膨胀的影响。其次总结分析了我国为了抑制历次通货膨胀所实施的具体的治理措施。最后，本文论述了治理我国历次通货膨胀的措施所取得的效果，从经济增长和就业方面对治理历次通货膨胀的效果进行了对比分析。同时，根据以往通货膨胀的治理措施取得的效果，提出了一些对治理我国本轮通货膨胀的借鉴，如：适度提高对通货膨胀的容忍度、积极稳定公众对通货膨胀的预期、有效治理通货膨胀应采取不同的政策组合、保证稳定的农产品供应量、防止资产类价格过快上涨并加强对我国的流动性管理。
[Abstract]:Inflation is a complex social and economic phenomenon that exists in the world's economic operation, and will seriously affect the operation and development of the macro-economy. Therefore, in the field of world economy and finance, Scholars all over the world attach great importance to the analysis and study of inflation. Since the reform and opening up, China's social and economic development has entered a new stage, our country's economy has developed rapidly, and the people's living standards have been continuously improved. The market economy system is also gradually on track. However, after the reform and opening up, China has achieved rapid economic growth at the same time that five or serious or moderate inflation has occurred. Moreover, every time inflation has a lot of adverse effects on the economic development of our country and the people's livelihood. Therefore, this paper summarizes the phenomena, causes and countermeasures of inflation in our country, and analyzes the particularity of inflation in our country now. In view of the characteristics of inflation in this round of our country, this paper draws lessons from the experience of controlling inflation in the past, and puts forward some countermeasures which are beneficial to the suppression of inflation, so as to effectively prevent our country's economy from experiencing a high growth rate and a high recession. It is of great significance to promote the healthy and stable development of our economy and to improve the people's living standard. This paper first analyzes the definition of inflation and its related theories. Recognizing that the occurrence of inflation is caused by a combination of various factors, and then introducing the general situation of inflation experienced by our country since the beginning of the reform and opening up and the causes of the inflation in our country, The phenomena and causes of previous inflation were compared and analyzed. The occurrence of each inflation in China was accompanied by the rise of the consumer price index (CPI), the producer price index (PPI) and the GDP deflator index. Every time the reasons for inflation are different, But most of them relate to aggregate demand, production costs, money supply, However, the inflation in China since 2007 has its own unique characteristics: external factors and structural factors have a great impact on China's inflation in this round. Therefore, this paper analyzes the effects of external factors and structural factors on inflation in China. Secondly, it summarizes and analyzes the specific measures to control inflation in China. Finally, this paper discusses the effects of measures to control inflation in China, compares and analyzes the effects of controlling inflation in terms of economic growth and employment. According to the effect of the measures of controlling inflation in the past, this paper puts forward some references to the control of inflation in our country, such as increasing tolerance to inflation moderately, stabilizing the public's expectation of inflation actively. To control inflation effectively, different policy combinations should be adopted to ensure stable supply of agricultural products, to prevent asset prices from rising too fast and to strengthen liquidity management in China.
【学位授予单位】：河北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F822.5;F224

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