FDI对江苏省城乡收入分配不均等的影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-29 19:03

本文选题：FDI　切入点：城乡收入分配不均等　出处：《南京农业大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：当今世界国际资本在各国间的流动日益活跃,其中超过50%的资本都是以外商投资的形式存在的。改革开放以来,江苏外商直接投资迅速增加的同时经济也飞速发展。但是,与高速增长同时存在的却是江苏省区域经济增长的不平衡,南高北低的态势非常明显,城乡收入分配不均等问题愈发严重,且这一分化呈日渐放大的趋势。当分配不均等的问题使经济的发展受到制约,社会的稳定受到阻碍时,对外商直接投资与城乡收入分配不均等之间的动态关系进行研究,并提出相应的政策建议就显得尤为必要和迫切。本文主要从三个方面对外商直接投资与江苏城乡收入分配不均等的关系进行了研究：第一方面,本文构建了外商直接投资与城乡收入分配不均等的分析框架,包括直接影响的数学机理推导和间接影响的传导机制分析。第二方面,利用江苏省的具体数据对外商直接投资和城乡收入分配不均等进行现状分析,并通过协整检验、向量误差修正模型、Granger因果检验初步实证外商投资与城乡收入不均等的关系第三方面,利用江苏全省及13个市1990-2010年的经济数据构建动态面板模型,运用系统GMM方法具体分析江苏全省、苏南、苏中和苏北外商直接投资如何通过传导变量(就业结构变动、贸易开放程度和产业结构变动)来影响各个地区的城乡收入分配不均等的。研究结论有：第一,江苏省FDI的发展特征表明,外商在江苏的投资独资化倾向明显,且主要集中在第二产业,在地域上呈现出由南到北逐渐减少的特征,实际利用的FDI约60%以上来自亚洲国家或地区。第二,江苏城乡收入差距的变化特征表明,城乡居民的收入在不断提高,但江苏省总体及各地区城乡收入的差距也却在不断扩大。第三,两变量通过协整分析和因果检验后得出,江苏省FDI与城乡收入分配不均等之间存在负向的长期均衡关系,而短期影响是正向的作用关系；滞后期为3时,城乡收入差距与实际利用外资之间是互为因果关系的。第四,系统GMM模型直接影响结果为：江苏省及苏南、苏中、苏北三地区利用FDI减缓了城乡收入分配不均等的问题。间接影响结果为：FDI通过影响就业结构缩小了全省及三大地区的城乡收入差距；通过推动对外贸易加剧了全省和三大地区的城乡收入不均等；通过调整产业结构减缓了苏南地区的城乡收入不均等,却扩大了全省及苏中、苏北地区的城乡收入差距问题。根究研究结论,就江苏省面临的城乡收入分配不均衡问题,从更合理利用外资、优化投资结构的角度提供相关意见佐证。
[Abstract]:The international capital in the world is increasingly active in various countries, of which more than 50% of the capital exists in the form of foreign investment. Since the reform and opening up, foreign direct investment in Jiangsu has increased rapidly and the economy has also developed rapidly. At the same time as the rapid growth, however, there is an imbalance in the regional economic growth in Jiangsu Province. The situation of high and north low in the south is very obvious, and the problem of income inequality between urban and rural areas is becoming more and more serious. When the economic development is restricted and the social stability is hindered, the dynamic relationship between FDI and urban-rural income distribution inequality is studied. And put forward the corresponding policy recommendations are particularly necessary and urgent. This paper studies the relationship between FDI and urban and rural income distribution inequality in Jiangsu Province from three aspects: first, this paper constructs an analytical framework of FDI and urban-rural income distribution inequality. It includes the mathematical mechanism derivation of direct influence and the analysis of transmission mechanism of indirect influence. Secondly, using the specific data of Jiangsu Province to analyze the current situation of foreign direct investment (FDI) and urban-rural income distribution inequality, and pass cointegration test. Vector error Correction Model Granger causality Test the third aspect of the relationship between foreign investment and urban-rural income inequality, using the economic data of Jiangsu province and 13 cities from 1990 to 2010 to construct the dynamic panel model. The systematic GMM method is used to analyze how foreign direct investment (FDI) in Jiangsu province, southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu and northern Jiangsu province changes through conduction variables (change of employment structure). The degree of trade opening and the change of industrial structure affect the inequality of urban and rural income distribution in different regions. The conclusions are as follows: first, the development characteristics of FDI in Jiangsu Province indicate that the tendency of foreign investment in Jiangsu is obvious, and it is mainly concentrated in the secondary industry, showing the characteristics of decreasing from south to north. More than 60 percent of the FDI actually used comes from Asian countries or regions. Second, the changing characteristics of the urban-rural income gap in Jiangsu show that the income of urban and rural residents is constantly increasing. However, the gap between urban and rural income in Jiangsu Province as a whole and in different regions is also widening. Thirdly, through cointegration analysis and causality test, it is concluded that there is a negative long-term equilibrium relationship between FDI and urban and rural income distribution inequality in Jiangsu Province. But the short-term effect is positive, the lag is 3, the income gap between urban and rural areas and the actual utilization of foreign capital is causality. Fourth, the system GMM model directly affects the results: Jiangsu Province and southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu, The result of indirect influence is that the income gap between urban and rural areas is narrowed by the influence of FDI on the employment structure of the whole province and the three major regions. By promoting foreign trade, it intensifies the urban-rural income inequality in the whole province and the three major regions, slows down the urban-rural income inequality in southern Jiangsu by adjusting the industrial structure, but expands the urban-rural income gap between the whole province and the central and northern parts of Jiangsu. The conclusion of the study is that the problem of income distribution between urban and rural areas in Jiangsu Province is unbalanced, which can be proved from the angle of more rational utilization of foreign capital and optimization of investment structure.
【学位授予单位】：南京农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F124.7;F832.6

【参考文献】