北京金融发展与经济发展的关联性研究

发布时间：2018-04-13 10:13

本文选题：金融发展 + 经济发展　；参考：《北京工业大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：金融发展与经济发展的关系始终是理论研究与实证分析的热点问题之一。近年来，随着经济全球化的发展趋势不断扩大，一国出现的金融危机在联系日趋紧密的各国和各经济体之间能够得以迅速传播，金融冲击会导致别国金融体系的不稳定以及金融危机，甚至引发全球经济发展缓滞。由于我国各个区域的金融、经济发展具有较大的差异性，因此，将西方的金融、经济发展理论与地区的实际情况相结合，探讨北京地区金融发展与经济发展的关联性，是北京经济建设的迫切需要，同时也为北京地区金融体系的发展、金融结构的调整提供实证依据。首先，在梳理、归纳金融发展理论、经济发展理论、金融与经济发展作用机制的基础上，结合北京金融、经济发展的实际情况，采用相关分析进行指标的筛选，主成分分析方差的思想确保指标体系建立的合理性，采用熵值法计算指标的权重系数，从而计算出北京金融发展与经济发展指数，并详细地分析了各个子系统的发展状况，便于从整体上把握北京金融、经济的发展状况。接着，在确定指数计算科学性的基础上，对北京金融发展与经济发展的关系进行了探讨。格兰杰因果检验表明：金融发展是经济发展的格兰杰原因，但是经济发展不是金融发展的格兰杰原因，这在一定程度上说明经济对金融的基础性作用并不明显，而金融体系却可以对经济产生较大的影响。最后，把灰色关联度的方法引入到了金融发展与经济发展关联性的研究应用中来，结果显示：金融发展与经济发展之间存在较高的关联度，，这也在一定程度上对格兰杰检验结果提供了一定的支持。
[Abstract]:The relationship between financial development and economic development has always been one of the hot issues in theoretical research and empirical analysis.In recent years, as the trend of economic globalization continues to expand, the financial crisis that occurs in a country can spread rapidly among countries and economies that are increasingly connected.Financial shocks can lead to instability and financial crisis in other countries' financial systems, and even slow global economic development.Since the financial and economic development of various regions in China is quite different, the theory of financial and economic development in the West is combined with the actual situation in the region to explore the relevance between financial development and economic development in Beijing.It is an urgent need for Beijing's economic construction, and also provides an empirical basis for the development of financial system and the adjustment of financial structure in Beijing.First of all, on the basis of combing and summing up the theory of financial development, the theory of economic development, the mechanism of financial and economic development, and combining the actual situation of Beijing's financial and economic development, we adopt relevant analysis to screen the indicators.The idea of principal component analysis (PCA) variance ensures the rationality of the establishment of the index system. The weight coefficient of the index is calculated by the entropy method, and the index of financial and economic development in Beijing is calculated, and the development status of each subsystem is analyzed in detail.To facilitate the overall grasp of Beijing's financial and economic development.Then, the relationship between financial development and economic development in Beijing is discussed on the basis of determining the scientific nature of index calculation.Granger causality test shows that financial development is the Granger cause of economic development, but economic development is not the Granger cause of financial development, which to some extent shows that the basic role of economy to finance is not obvious.However, the financial system can have a greater impact on the economy.Finally, the method of grey correlation is introduced into the research and application of the relationship between financial development and economic development. The results show that there is a high degree of correlation between financial development and economic development.This also provides certain support to Granger test results to a certain extent.
【学位授予单位】：北京工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F224;F832.7;F127

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