资本流入的突然中断与经常账户赤字的有效调节

发布时间：2018-04-16 11:41

本文选题：经常账户赤字 + 资本流入突然中断　；参考：《世界经济研究》2010年09期

【摘要】：本文选择93个国家在1977～2007年的相关数据为样本,分析了全球性经常账户失衡的现状。在深入剖析经常账户高赤字的具体融资途径及其经济影响的基础上,本文利用Probit模型对资本流入突然中断对经常账户赤字调节的影响进行实证检验,发现资本流入突然中断能够显著影响经常账户赤字的调节,并对其经济意义进行阐释。最后就此次金融危机后全球经常账户的状态进行预测,指出此次金融危机的发生不会带来全球经常账户失衡的改善。
[Abstract]:This paper selects 93 countries' data from 1977 to 2007 as a sample to analyze the current account imbalance in the world.On the basis of deeply analyzing the specific financing ways of high current account deficit and its economic impact, this paper uses Probit model to empirically test the effect of sudden interruption of capital inflow on the adjustment of current account deficit.It is found that the sudden interruption of capital inflow can significantly affect the adjustment of the current account deficit and explain its economic significance.Finally, he predicted the state of the global current account after the financial crisis, pointing out that the crisis would not lead to an improvement in global current account imbalances.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学国际工商管理学院;
【分类号】：F831.6

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