永安区域木材价格影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-04-16 15:10

本文选题：集体林权制度改革 + 永安市　；参考：《福建农林大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：本文通过分析永安市集体林权制度改革和永安林业(集团)股份有限公司19年来木材产品销售指导价的走势之间的关系,初步得出以下结论： (1)1998年11月永安洪田镇的集体林权制度改革对永安区域木材价格影响不大；2003年4月福建省开始全面的林权制度改革后,马尾松和杂木价格小幅上涨,杉原木和杉小径材价格下跌幅度较大；2006年11月福建省开始集体林权制度的配套改革,永安区域木材价格大幅上涨。 (2)2000年国家实施天然林保护工程及2002年4月启动的退耕还林工程对永安区域木材价格影响不大。2010年福建省为确保森林覆盖率继续居全国首位,限制木材采伐,市场供应不足,使木材价格一路上扬。 (3)1993年永林公司成立,永安区域木材价格大幅上涨；1996年永安林业在深圳证券交易所挂牌上市,对永安区域木材价格没有造成影响；2006年永惠林业有限公司成立,美国惠好公司介入永安市林业市场,到2008年永惠公司将林地面积进一步扩大前夕,木材价格暴涨。 (4)永安区域木材价格增长率与CPI、PPI总体变化趋势保持一致,呈现显著正相关(r0,p0.01),且相对于CPI和PPI来说具有超前性,同时又受到宏观经济调控的影响。 (5)2012年国家采取宽松的宏观经济政策刺激经济发展,同时受福建省为提高森林覆盖率而减少采伐指标的影响,永安区域木材价格将大幅提高。
[Abstract]:Based on the analysis of the relationship between the reform of collective forest tenure system in Yongan City and the trend of the guiding price of timber products sales in Yongan Forestry (Group) Co., Ltd in the past 19 years, the following conclusions are drawn:1) in November 1998, the reform of collective forest tenure system in Hongtian town of Yongan had little effect on timber price in Yongan region. After Fujian Province began the comprehensive forest tenure system reform in April 2003, the price of Pinus massoniana and miscellaneous wood increased slightly.In November 2006 Fujian Province began to reform the system of collective forest rights and the timber price in Yongan region increased significantly.2) the implementation of the National Natural Forest Protection Project in 2000 and the conversion of cropland to Forest Project launched in April 2002 have little impact on the timber price in Yongan region. In order to ensure that forest coverage will continue to occupy the first place in the country in 2010, Fujian Province restricted timber harvesting and insufficient market supply.Keep the price of wood going up.(3) Yonglin Company was established in 1993, and the timber prices in Yongan region increased substantially; in 1996, Yongan Forestry was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which had no impact on the prices of timber in Yongan region; and Yonghui Forestry Co., Ltd. was established in 2006.Us Huihao Company intervened in the forestry market of Yongan City, and timber prices soared on the eve of the further expansion of forestland area by Yonghui Company in 2008.4) the growth rate of wood price in Yongan region is consistent with the overall change trend of CPI- PPI, and it is significantly positively correlated with CPI and PPI, and is also influenced by macro-economic regulation.In 2012, the country adopted loose macroeconomic policies to stimulate economic development, and the timber price in Yongan region will be greatly increased under the influence of Fujian Province to increase forest cover and reduce cutting targets.
【学位授予单位】：福建农林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F326.2;F832.51

【参考文献】