FDI对中美和中欧贸易顺差影响效应问题研究

发布时间：2018-04-26 23:19

本文选题：外商直接投资(FDI) + 美欧　；参考：《南京农业大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着中国大陆对外开放的不断深入,中国大陆吸收外资规模迅速增长,外资大量流入的同时中国大陆对外贸易顺差快速增长。伴随中国大陆对外贸易顺差持续扩大,中国大陆在对外贸易中受到的反倾销、反补贴案件屡见不鲜,人民币也面临较大的外部升值压力。在这一背景下把外商对中国大陆投资和中国大陆贸易收支问题放在一个分析框架内,研究外商直接投资对中国大陆贸易失衡产生何种影响、程度如何以及不同国别(地区)外资类型通过何种贸易效应对中国大陆对外贸易顺差产生影响具有较强的理论价值和现实意义。本文主要从国际直接投资理论和FDI与贸易收支理论两个方面入手来探讨中国大陆对外贸易顺差问题,中国大陆对外贸易第一顺差国是美国,其次是欧盟。近年来中国大陆对欧盟贸易顺差增长迅速,所以本文在讨论中美贸易顺差同时,同样对中欧贸易顺差问题进行详细分析。现有研究有关FDI与贸易顺差之间相互关系主要集中在FDI与中国大陆对外贸易顺差和FDI与中国大陆对美国贸易顺差两个方面,关于FDI与中欧贸易顺差的研究较少,而本文在分析FDI与中美贸易顺差关系时,也对FDI与中欧贸易顺差进行分析。已有研究笼统的介绍了FDI与中国大陆对外贸易顺差之间的关系,有关中国大陆对外贸易顺差的国别(地区)外资类型以及不同国别(地区)外资类型对贸易顺差产生何种贸易效应的研究较少,而本文则对影响中美和中欧贸易顺差的国别(地区)外资类型,以及不同国别(地区)外资类型是通过何种贸易效应对中美和中欧贸易顺差产生影响进行了详细分析。本文的结构和主要内容如下：第一部分主要介绍论文的选题依据、研究目的和意义、研究思路与研究内容以及论文的创新与不足。第二部分主要对本文的理论基础进行阐述、对相关概念进行界定以及从FDI区位选择和FDI与贸易收支关系两个角度进行文献综述。第三部分分析中国大陆对外贸易和吸收外资现状。分别从中国大陆对外贸易现状、中国大陆吸收外资现状以及中国大陆对外贸易顺差构成三个方面进行阐述。第四部分主要分析外商对中国大陆直接投资与中国大陆对外贸易顺差。首先分析外商对中国大陆直接投资与中国大陆贸易顺差之间的相互关系。其次对影响中美和中欧贸易顺差的主要国别(地区)外资类型加以分析。第五部分重点分析不同国别(地区)外资类型是通过何种贸易效应对中美和中欧贸易顺差产生影响。第六部分是本文的研究结论与政策建议。本文得出的主要结论有：外商对中国大陆直接投资流量和存量对中国大陆对外贸易顺差影响显著,中国大陆吸收外资流量和外资存量是中国大陆对外贸易顺差的Granger原因。影响中美和中欧贸易顺差的国别(地区)外资类型有所不同,影响中美贸易顺差的国别(地区)外资类型主要是日韩、港澳台和美国对中国大陆的直接投资,而影响中欧贸易顺差的国别(地区)外资类型主要是日韩和欧盟对中国大陆的直接投资。美国、日韩台和港澳分别是通过贸易互补效应、贸易顺差转移效应和出口促进效应对中美贸易顺差产生影响的。日本和韩国是通过贸易顺差转移效应,欧盟是通过贸易替代效应和贸易互补效应的相互作用对中欧贸易顺差产生影响。本文最终从调整引进外资战略,发展对外直接投资,区别不同外资类型,贸易政策和外资政策有效结合以及合理引导外资流向等方面提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's opening to the outside world, the scale of foreign investment in mainland China has increased rapidly, while the foreign trade surplus of China has increased rapidly. In this context, we put the foreign investment in mainland China and China's mainland trade balance in an analytical framework to study the impact of foreign direct investment on China's trade imbalance in mainland China. The impact of land trade surplus is of great theoretical and practical significance.
This article is mainly from the two aspects of the theory of international direct investment and the theory of FDI and the theory of trade and expenditure. The first surplus country of China's mainland foreign trade is the United States, followed by the European Union. In recent years, China's mainland has increased the trade surplus with the EU rapidly, so this article discusses the Sino US trade surplus and the same time. The relationship between China and EU trade surplus is analyzed in detail. The relationship between FDI and trade surplus is mainly concentrated in the two aspects of FDI and China's foreign trade surplus and FDI and China's trade surplus with the United States. There are few studies on the trade surplus between FDI and China and Europe, and this paper analyzes the trade surplus between FDI and China and the United States. The relationship between FDI and China EU trade surplus is also analyzed. The relationship between FDI and the foreign trade surplus of mainland China is introduced in general. The types of foreign trade surplus of China mainland and the types of foreign investment in different countries (regions) have less research on the trade effect of the trade surplus. This paper makes a detailed analysis of the types of foreign investment which affects the trade surplus between China and the United States and China and Europe, as well as the effects of the types of foreign investment on the trade surplus of China and the central Europe and China.
The structure and main contents of this paper are as follows: the first part mainly introduces the basis of the topic, the purpose and significance of the research, the research ideas and research content, and the innovation and deficiency of the paper. The second part mainly expounds the theoretical basis of this paper, defines the related concepts, and the relationship between the location selection of FDI and the relationship between FDI and trade balance. Two aspects of the literature review. The third part analyses the current situation of foreign trade and foreign capital absorption in mainland China. The present situation of foreign trade in mainland China, the current situation of foreign investment in mainland China and the surplus of China's mainland foreign trade are expounded respectively. The fourth part mainly analyzes the direct investment of foreign businessmen to China and China. China's foreign trade surplus. First, analyze the relationship between foreign direct investment and China mainland trade surplus. Secondly, analyze the types of foreign investment in the main countries (regions) which affect the trade surplus between China and the United States. The fifth part focuses on the analysis of the types of foreign investment in different countries (land areas). The sixth part is the conclusions and policy recommendations of this paper.
The main conclusions are as follows: foreign direct investment flow and stock of foreign businessmen have significant influence on China mainland's foreign trade surplus. China's mainland absorption of foreign capital flow and foreign capital stock is the Granger cause of China mainland's foreign trade surplus. The type of foreign investment that affects the trade surplus of China and the United States is mainly the direct investment of Japan and South Korea, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan and the United States to the mainland of China. The foreign types of foreign capital which affect the trade surplus of China and Europe are mainly the direct investment of Japan and South Korea and the European Union. Difference transfer effect and export promotion effect on Sino US trade surplus effect. Japan and South Korea are through trade surplus transfer effect, the EU is through the interaction of trade substitution effect and trade complementation effect on China EU trade surplus. This article finally from the adjustment of foreign investment strategy, the development of foreign direct investment, difference is not Policy recommendations are put forward in connection with the types of foreign investment, effective combination of trade policies and foreign investment policies, and rational guidance of foreign capital flows.

【学位授予单位】：南京农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.7

【参考文献】