农村金融、财政支农和农村经济增长的协整分析:1978—2007

发布时间：2018-04-28 13:44

本文选题：农村金融 + 财政支农　；参考：《吉林大学社会科学学报》2010年03期

【摘要】：基于1978—2007年的数据,对中国农村金融发展与农村经济增长的协整分析表明,公共财政对农村经济发展支撑力度的有限、农村金融财政化、农村金融利率与机构数量的双重抑制,使得财政支农率与农村金融机构信贷率对农村经济增长具有显著的负相关性;国有商业银行撤并农村分支机构改变了农村金融市场的格局,对农村经济增长产生了显著的负面影响;然而,农村金融体系很好地发挥了动员储蓄的功能,代表内部融资的农户储蓄率与农业人均产出具有显著的正相关关系。因此,为促进农村经济增长应完善财政转移支付制度,增加财政的农业支出,中央银行应通过针对性的政策操作促进农村金融发展,并以完善的制度构建实现农村金融机构的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:Based on the data from 1978 to 2007, the cointegration analysis of rural financial development and rural economic growth in China shows that public finance has limited support for rural economic development, and rural finance has become financial. The double inhibition of the rural financial interest rate and the number of institutions makes the financial support rate and the credit rate of rural financial institutions have a significant negative correlation with the rural economic growth. The withdrawal of state-owned commercial banks from their rural branches has changed the pattern of rural financial markets and has had a significant negative impact on rural economic growth; however, the rural financial system has played a good role in mobilizing savings. There is a significant positive correlation between the savings rate of farmers who represent internal financing and the per capita output of agriculture. Therefore, in order to promote the rural economic growth, the central bank should improve the financial transfer payment system and increase the agricultural expenditure, the central bank should promote the rural financial development through the targeted policy operation. The sustainable development of rural financial institutions is realized by perfect system.
【作者单位】：吉林大学中国国有经济研究中心;吉林大学经济学院;
【基金】：吉林省软科学项目(20080649,20090622)
【分类号】：F832.35;F812.8;F320

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