跨境贸易结算促进人民币国际化的路径研究

发布时间：2018-05-06 18:30

本文选题：货币国际化 + 跨境贸易结算　；参考：《安徽财经大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：2008年由美国次贷危机引发的全球金融危机充分暴露了以美元为核心的国际货币体系的诸多弊端,使人们认识到改革国际货币体系的重要性,而随着欧美债务危机再一次冲击全球金融体系,各国对于加快国际货币体系改革的呼声也越来越高。随着中国经济规模的不断扩张以及在世界经济中的地位和作用不断增强,实现人民币国际化,既是符合中国利益的诉求,也是在国际上发挥大国责任的重要举措,对中国和世界经济的稳定、持续、均衡、协调发展都具有重大的战略意义。 2009年国务院开展跨境贸易人民币结算试点,表明人民币国际化已经纳入到制度推动的范畴。《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划的建议》中则进一步提出,要扩大人民币在跨境贸易和投资中的作用。跨境贸易人民币结算为境内外企业经贸往来提供更为便利的支付和结算工具,有利于促进对外贸易总量的进一步增长；从中长期来看,有利于我国未来经济结构的调整、经济质量提升、贸易条件改善和贸易地位的提高以及世界金融中心的建设,跨境贸易人民币结算是我国为了实现人民币国际化的一个重要步骤,但也面临着资本项目未开放、金融市场欠发达、人民币结算的接受程度有限等诸多问题。因此,本文将试图从实现人民币国际化的层面对跨境贸易人民币结算问题进行系统的研究,探讨如何解决在资本项目未开放背景下开展跨境贸易人民币结算所带来的外汇管理困境,以及人民币离岸市场不发达所带来的海外人民币资金投资和回流等问题,并探讨如何完善跨境贸易人民币结算,以进一步扩大人民币在国际上发挥计价货币和交易媒介的职能,以及探讨如何利用跨境贸易人民币结算这个契机,推进人民币在国际上成为储备货币,从而促进国际货币体系的多元化。本文分为六章,第一章为绪论,重点分析为什么要研究跨境贸易结算与人民币国际化的关系,即问题的提出和交代论文的研究目的、思路和可能的创新与不足。第二章为文献综述,介绍了国内外关于货币国际化方面以及跨境贸易人民币结算方面的文献综述并加以评述。第三章是现状分析,通过对跨境贸易人民币结算的历程回顾和现状介绍,分析了其发展的优势与不足。第四章是理论分析,通过对货币搜寻理论,最适度货币标准的内生性准则理论和计价货币选择理论分析,得出跨境贸易人民币结算促进人民币国际化的理论基础。第五章是实证分析,通过构建估计人民币国际化程度的模型以及对境外人民币流通数量的估计,论述了跨境贸易结算促进人民币国际化的事实。第六章是政策建议,通过对政府、银行以及企业三方面的建议希望促进跨境贸易人民币结算的进一步深入。
[Abstract]:The global financial crisis caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in 2008 has fully exposed many disadvantages of the international monetary system with the US dollar as the core and made people realize the importance of reforming the international monetary system. With the debt crisis in Europe and the United States hitting the global financial system once again, calls for accelerating the reform of the international monetary system are growing. With the continuous expansion of China's economic scale and its increasing status and role in the world economy, realizing the internationalization of the RMB is not only in line with China's interests, but also an important measure to bring into play the responsibilities of big countries in the international arena. It is of great strategic significance to the stability, sustainability, balance and coordinated development of China and the world economy. In 2009, the State Council launched a pilot project on RMB settlement for cross-border trade, which shows that RMB internationalization has been brought into the scope of institutional promotion. The proposal of the CPC Central Committee on formulating the 12th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development was further put forward. The role of RMB in cross-border trade and investment should be expanded. RMB settlement of cross-border trade provides a more convenient means of payment and settlement for domestic and foreign enterprises' economic and trade exchanges, and is conducive to the further growth of the total volume of foreign trade; in the medium and long term, it is conducive to the adjustment of China's economic structure in the future. The improvement of economic quality, the improvement of terms of trade and the improvement of trade status, as well as the construction of the world financial center, RMB settlement of cross-border trade is an important step for China to realize the internationalization of RMB, but it also faces the fact that the capital account has not been opened. The financial market is underdeveloped and the acceptance of RMB settlement is limited. Therefore, this paper will attempt to make a systematic study on RMB settlement of cross-border trade from the aspect of realizing RMB internationalization. To discuss how to solve the foreign exchange management dilemma caused by the RMB settlement of cross-border trade under the background of non-open capital account, as well as the overseas RMB capital investment and return caused by the underdevelopment of the offshore RMB market. It also discusses how to improve the settlement of RMB for cross-border trade in order to further expand the role of RMB as an international currency and a trading medium, and how to make use of the opportunity of RMB settlement in cross-border trade. Promote the RMB to become a reserve currency in the world, thus promoting the diversification of the international monetary system. This paper is divided into six chapters, the first chapter is the introduction, focusing on why to study the relationship between cross-border trade settlement and RMB internationalization, that is, the purpose, ideas, possible innovation and deficiency of the thesis. The second chapter is a literature review, which introduces and comments on the aspects of currency internationalization and RMB settlement of cross-border trade at home and abroad. The third chapter is the current situation analysis, through the cross-border trade RMB settlement process review and the present situation introduction, analyzed its development superiority and the insufficiency. The fourth chapter is the theoretical analysis, through the monetary search theory, the most appropriate monetary standard of the endogenous criterion theory and the pricing of currency selection theory analysis, the cross-border trade RMB settlement to promote the internationalization of the theoretical basis of RMB. Chapter five is an empirical analysis, which discusses the fact that cross-border trade settlement promotes RMB internationalization by constructing a model to estimate the degree of RMB internationalization and estimating the amount of RMB circulation abroad. The sixth chapter is the policy recommendations, through the government, banks and enterprises to promote the further development of cross-border trade RMB settlement.
【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6

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