浙江省金融发展对外贸规模与结构的影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-07 08:57

本文选题：金融发展 + 外贸规模　；参考：《西南财经大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：现代金融和国际贸易是一国经济增长乃至世界经济发展的两大重要组成部分。一直以来,金融发展、国际贸易与经济增长的关系始终是国内外学界颇为关注的重点研究课题。随着经济全球化、一体化及市场化进程的推进,金融与外贸的区际融合趋势不断增强,二者的互动关系日益显著,金融发展及金融配套服务提升是推动国际贸易发展、促进外贸增长的关键要素。20世纪80年代以来,国内外学者以金融发展和对外贸易的相互关系为研究对象,从理论和实证上开展了较为广泛的研究。本文在国内外相关文献研究和实地调研的基础上,采用规范研究与实证研究相结合、定性研究与定量研究相结合、理论分析与案例分析相结合等方法,系统揭示和阐释了金融发展促进外贸规模及结构调整的内在机理、路径,并以我国经济强省、贸易大省——浙江省的相关数据为基础,进行了案例研究和实证分析,得出了相关结论并提出了若干针对性的政策建议,为促进现代金融支持、配套对外贸易,以及浙江省对外贸易的健康、快速、可持续发展,提供一定的决策参考和政策启示。本文共分为六个部分。第一章为绪论,主要介绍选题背景、研究意义、研究方法以及技术路线图；第二章对国内外金融发展与国际贸易的相关文献进行了回顾和综述,梳理了金融发展、国际贸易以及金融发展影响国际贸易的相关理论,并筛选了国内外具有代表性的金融发展和外贸发展指标,为本文研究奠定理论基础；第三章揭示了金融发展促进外贸发展的一般机理,引入帕加诺内生增长模型(AK模型)来剖析金融发展如何影响资源禀赋和技术差异,进而改变一国的比较优势,最终影响外贸规模增长及结构调整；在此基础上,进一步厘清了金融发展促进外贸发展的四条传导路径,即：风险分散及规避、改善比较优势、规模经济形成和汇率调整；第四章以浙江省为例,分析了其金融发展和外贸发展概况、特点等；第五章基于1993年以来浙江省金融发展与国际贸易的各类指标测算,实证分析了金融发展影响外贸规模及结构作用与程度；第六章在前文理论分析、实证分析和案例研究的基础上,结合浙江省情,提出了一些促进金融与对外贸易协同发展的政策建议及启示。相较已有研究而言,本文可能存在以下三个方面的创新与不同之处：在研究视角上,本文从较微观的角度研究了金融发展对国际贸易的影响,选取了典型案例——浙江省作为研究案例,这有别于已有研究过多聚焦于国家层面的传统视角；在理论框架上,本文试图用AK增长模型说明金融发展促进国际贸易的一般机理,将金融发展影响国际贸易的路径归纳为分散风险、比较优势、规模经济和汇率制度四种,较为系统地厘清了金融发展促进国际贸易的路径,构建了初步的理论框架；在实证研究上,本文同时选取了分别代表金融中介发展规模和资本市场发展的若干指标,实证分析了其对外贸规模及结构的影响。尤其是针对浙江是民间金融大省、民间金融资本非常发达的特点,测量了1993年以来浙江省民间金融资本的规模,并将其作为衡量金融发展规模的一个重要指标引入实证分析,这或许是本文所做的一项大胆尝试和有益探索。当然,本文也具有不足之处：一是由于获取金融发展与外贸发展相关最新前沿理论文献的方法和水平有限,可能在跟踪本领域尤其是国外最新前沿研究成果上存在不足；二是由于受数据采集的客观限制,本文只能在借鉴已有研究方法的基础上,大致估计出浙江民间金融数据进行实证分析,以期具有一定的参考价值。
[Abstract]:Modern finance and international trade are two important components of a country's economic growth and the development of the world economy. The relationship between financial development and international trade and economic growth has always been a major research topic of concern at home and abroad. With the economic globalization, integration and marketization process, finance and foreign trade The interregional integration trend is increasing, the interaction relationship between the two is becoming more and more significant. The financial development and the promotion of financial services are the key factors to promote the development of international trade and promote the growth of foreign trade. Since the 80s of.20, scholars both at home and abroad have taken the relationship between financial development and foreign trade as the research object, and have carried out a theoretical and empirical comparison. On the basis of relevant literature research and field research at home and abroad, the paper systematically reveals and explains the internal mechanism of financial development to promote the scale and structure adjustment of foreign trade by combining normative research and empirical research, combining qualitative research with quantitative research, combining theoretical analysis with case analysis. In order to promote modern financial support, support foreign trade, and provide a healthy, rapid and sustainable development of foreign trade in Zhejiang Province, we have carried out a case study and empirical analysis based on the relevant data of Zhejiang Province, a big province of China's economic province and a large province of trade, and drew some relevant conclusions and put forward some pertinent policy suggestions. Decision making reference and policy inspiration.
This article is divided into six parts. The first chapter is the introduction, which mainly introduces the background of topic selection, research significance, research methods and technical roadmap. The second chapter reviews and summarizes the relevant literature on financial development and international trade at home and abroad, and combs the related theories of financial development, international trade and financial development affecting international trade. The representative financial development and foreign trade development indicators are screened at home and abroad, which lays a theoretical foundation for this study. The third chapter reveals the general mechanism of financial development to promote foreign trade development, and introduces the AK model to analyze how financial development affects resource endowments and technical differences, and then changes the ratio of a country. On the basis of this, it further clarifies the four transmission routes of financial development to promote foreign trade development, namely: risk dispersion and evasion, improvement of comparative advantage, scale economy formation and exchange rate adjustment; the fourth chapter takes Zhejiang Province as an example to analyze its financial development and foreign trade development almost. The fifth chapter, based on the measurement of various indexes of financial development and international trade in Zhejiang province since 1993, empirically analyses the impact of financial development on the scale and structure of foreign trade and the extent of its structure. The sixth chapter, on the basis of the theoretical analysis, empirical analysis and case study in the previous article, combined with the situation of Zhejiang Province, puts forward some promotion of Finance and the other. Policy suggestions and inspiration for the coordinated development of foreign trade.
Compared with the previous research, this paper may exist in the following three aspects of innovation and difference: from the perspective of research, this paper studies the impact of financial development on international trade from a more micro perspective, and selects a typical case - Zhejiang Province as a case study, which is different from the traditional view that has focused on the national level too much. On the theoretical framework, this paper attempts to illustrate the general mechanism of financial development to promote international trade with the AK growth model, and concludes that the path of financial development affecting international trade is divided into four kinds, namely, decentralization risk, comparative advantage, scale economy and exchange rate system, which systematically clarifies the path of gold and thaw development to promote international trade. In the case of empirical research, this paper selects several indicators that represent the scale of the development of financial intermediaries and the development of the capital market respectively, and empirically analyses the influence on the scale and structure of foreign trade. Especially, the characteristics of Zhejiang is a large private financial province, and the characteristics of the non-governmental financial capital are very developed, and the people of Zhejiang province have been measured since 1993. The scale of financial capital and the introduction of an empirical analysis as an important indicator of the scale of financial development may be a bold attempt and useful exploration in this article.
Of course, this paper also has shortcomings: one is that the methods and levels of the latest frontier theory of the acquisition of financial development and foreign trade development are limited, and there may be shortcomings in tracking this field, especially the latest frontier research in foreign countries. Two, because of the limitations of the view of the data collection, this article can only be used for reference to the existing research parties. On the basis of the law, we can roughly estimate the empirical analysis of Zhejiang's non-governmental financial data, so as to have certain reference value.

【学位授予单位】：西南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.7;F752.8;F224

【参考文献】