探析2008年-2011年我国通货膨胀成因及政策建议

发布时间：2018-05-15 02:43

本文选题：通货膨胀 + 财政政策　；参考：《吉林财经大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：通货膨胀历来是宏观经济学研究的核心问题之一。它的形成原因和未来走势不仅关系到我国经济能否持续稳定增长，还关系到我国居民的福利水平，是影响国计民生的重要因素。2008年以来，受美国次贷危机影响，爆发了全球性的金融危机，，各国政府为应对危机纷纷向市场注入流动性，我国政府审时度势应对迅速，避免了危机在国内蔓延，但是随着国内外形势的变化，我国以食品价格为主要动力的物价指数全面上涨，2011年全年消费者价格指数平均上涨5.4%，通货膨胀压力越来越大。本文就是在此背景下完成的。在经典宏观经济学理论中，将通货膨胀的成因大致上分为需求拉动、成本推动和结构性通货膨胀。本文通过对现有的各经济学派关于通货膨胀理论的分析，深入细致的研究造成我国目前通货膨胀的原因，采用定量和定性分析指出影响我国现阶段通货膨胀的因素主要有：货币供应量过剩、通货膨胀预期过强、生产要素价格上涨和输入型通货膨胀。并且指出，四者之间是相互影响相互作用的。通过对我国通货膨胀成因的分析，最后提出政策建议，指出要综合使用货币政策和财政政策，在保证稳健的货币政策贯彻实施的基础上，综合运用财政政策、税收政策和金融政策充分发挥财政政策对宏观经济的调控作用。本文的创新指出在于紧扣当今时事，对我国现阶段通货膨胀的成因进行分析，具有很强的逻辑性。并且查阅了大量资料和数据，具有较强的说服力。在货币政策调控空间减小的情况下，着重论述了财政政策对通货膨胀的抑制作用，并且从强化税收、优化财政投资、加大财政补贴、建立物资储备等方面提出政策建议，富有很强针对性和可行性。最后指出，从长期来看，要充分发挥财政职能，优化产业结构，促进经济发展方式的转变，实施鼓励技术进步和技术创新的财政和税收政策，促进出口、消费和投资三驾马车协调发展，实现经济增长的持续性与稳定性。
[Abstract]:Inflation has always been one of the core problems in macroeconomics. The reasons for its formation and future trend are not only related to the sustained and stable growth of our economy, but also to the welfare level of our residents, and are important factors affecting the national economy and the people's livelihood. Since 2008, it has been affected by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States. The global financial crisis broke out. In order to deal with the crisis, the governments of various countries injected liquidity into the market one after another. The Chinese government responded quickly and avoided the spread of the crisis at home and abroad, but with the change of the domestic and foreign situation, The price index of our country, which is mainly driven by food price, is rising all round, and the average price index of consumer price in 2011 is 5.44.The pressure of inflation is increasing. This article is completed under this background. In the classical macroeconomic theory, the causes of inflation are divided into demand-driven, cost-driven and structural inflation. Through the analysis of the existing economic schools on the theory of inflation, this paper makes a thorough and detailed study of the causes of inflation in our country at present. By using quantitative and qualitative analysis, the author points out that the main factors influencing inflation in China at present are: excess money supply, excessive expectation of inflation, rising price of factors of production and imported inflation. It is also pointed out that the four interact with each other. Based on the analysis of the causes of inflation in China, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions, and points out that the comprehensive use of monetary policy and fiscal policy should be carried out on the basis of ensuring the implementation of prudent monetary policy. Tax policy and financial policy give full play to the role of fiscal policy in macroeconomic regulation and control. The innovation of this paper lies in closely following current events and analyzing the causes of inflation in our country at the present stage, which has a strong logic. And consulted a large number of materials and data, has a strong persuasive. In the case of the reduction of monetary policy control space, the paper emphatically discusses the effect of fiscal policy on the suppression of inflation, and puts forward some policy suggestions from the aspects of strengthening taxation, optimizing financial investment, increasing financial subsidies, establishing material reserves, and so on. Rich strong pertinence and feasibility. Finally, it is pointed out that in the long run, it is necessary to give full play to the financial functions, optimize the industrial structure, promote the transformation of the mode of economic development, implement fiscal and tax policies that encourage technological progress and technological innovation, and promote exports. Consumption and investment troika coordinated development to achieve the sustainability and stability of economic growth.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F822.5

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