美国经济复苏前景展望及QE4评估

发布时间：2018-05-24 20:34

  本文选题：美国 + 经济　； 参考：《国际贸易》2013年01期

【摘要】：正一、美国经济温和复苏但仍疲软2012年美国经济温和复苏,但未进入快车道。相对于2011年美国全年GDP增长1.7%而言,2012年一季度美国GDP增速提高到1.9%,二季度GDP增速又回落到1.3%。三季度,由于消费增长(人均消费增长2%,高于二季度的1.5%)、楼市复苏加快(住宅类固定投资增长14.4%,高于二季度的8.5%)及国防开支增加(3年来最快的增长)(路透社,2012.10.26),三季度GDP增速环比回升到3.1%。预计四季度经济增长有可能放缓。短期看,如果失业率继续下降,楼市持续复苏,2012年美国
[Abstract]:First, the U.S. economy recovered modestly but remained weak in 2012, but did not enter the fast track. U.S. GDP growth rose to 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012, compared with 1.7 percent for the full year of 2011, and fell back to 1.3 percent in the second quarter. In the third quarter, As consumption growth (2 per capita, up from 1.5 in the second quarter), the housing recovery picked up (residential fixed investment rose 14.4, up from 8.5 in the second quarter) and defense spending increased (the fastest increase in three years) (Reuters reported the fastest pace of growth in three years), with GDP growth picking up to 3.1 per cent in the third quarter. Economic growth is expected to slow in the fourth quarter. In the short term, if unemployment continues to fall and the housing market continues to recover, the United States in 2012
【作者单位】： 中国社会科学院美国经济研究员心;
【分类号】：F171.2;F827.12
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本文编号：1930456