环渤海区域金融发展与经济增长实证分析

发布时间：2018-05-31 10:27

本文选题：环渤海区域 + 金融发展　；参考：《天津财经大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：环渤海区域作为中国经济发展“第三增长极”,总体上取得了较快的发展,但基于地理位置、自然条件、经济金融基础、产业布局等方面的差异,环渤海区域三省二市经济金融发展水平存在较大差异,这种差异导致各省市金融发展对经济增长影响方式和影响力度的不同。本文针对环渤海区域经济金融发展不平衡的现象,结合经济增长和金融发展理论,对环渤海三省二市金融发展与经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究,具体分析各省市金融发展与经济增长的差异情况,这对如何协调环渤海区域金融和经济平衡发展,优化环渤海区域金融体系,促进环渤海区域发展具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。本文首先对国内外相关研究进行了综述,并阐述了区域金融发展与区域经济增长的相关理论。其次在比较分析环渤海区域经济和金融发展现状的基础上,使用面板数据固定效用模型和格兰杰因果检验相结合的方法对环渤海区域金融发展与经济增长的相关关系进行了实证研究,经研究认为北京金融发展与经济增长的关系属于“供给引导型”,金融发展对经济增长的拉动更多的体现在规模拉动上,金融发展主要表现在“量”的增加上；天津金融发展与经济增长的关系属于“需求跟进型”,金融发展滞后于经济增长,经济增长更多的依靠金融机构体系的完善上；山东金融发展落后于经济增长,受到“门槛效应”的制约,但金融发展与经济增长的关系为“相互促进”型；河北金融发展从规模上来说与经济增长无因果关系,从金融机构的深化程度来说与经济增长相互促进,且金融深化率的系数不显著,表明河北金融发展处于初级阶段,金融对经济的贡献度低,经济增长推动金融机构不断完善；辽宁地区金融发展对经济增长的影响较小,但金融发展与经济增长的关系属于“相互促进型”,发展模式较好。最后,根据理论分析与实证研究的结果,提出环渤海区域金融合作的构想,并针对各地区经济与金融发展现状,分别从金融差别化和金融合作两个层面提出促进环渤海区域金融合作的对策建议。
[Abstract]:As the "third growth pole" of China's economic development, the Bohai Rim region has achieved relatively rapid development on the whole, but based on the differences in geographical location, natural conditions, economic and financial basis, industrial distribution, etc. The level of economic and financial development in three provinces and two cities around the Bohai Sea is quite different, which leads to the difference of the influence mode and intensity of the financial development of provinces and cities on the economic growth. Aiming at the phenomenon of unbalanced economic and financial development in Bohai Rim region and combining the theory of economic growth and financial development, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between financial development and economic growth in three provinces and two cities around the Bohai Sea. The differences between the financial development and economic growth of provinces and cities are analyzed in detail. This will help to coordinate the balanced development of the regional finance and economy around the Bohai Sea and optimize the regional financial system around the Bohai Sea. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to promote the development of Bohai Rim region. Firstly, this paper summarizes the relevant research at home and abroad, and expounds the theory of regional financial development and regional economic growth. Secondly, on the basis of comparative analysis of the current situation of economic and financial development in the Bohai Rim region, Using panel data fixed utility model and Granger causality test, this paper makes an empirical study on the correlation between financial development and economic growth in Bohai Rim region. It is considered that the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Beijing belongs to the "supply-oriented" type, and the pull of financial development to economic growth is more embodied in the pull of scale, and the financial development is mainly reflected in the increase of "quantity". The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Tianjin belongs to the "demand follow-up" type. The financial development lags behind the economic growth, and economic growth depends more on the improvement of the financial institution system, while the financial development of Shandong lags behind the economic growth. Restricted by the "threshold effect", the relationship between financial development and economic growth is "mutually reinforcing", and Hebei's financial development has no causal relationship with economic growth in terms of scale. The deepening degree of financial institutions and economic growth promote each other, and the coefficient of financial deepening rate is not significant, indicating that Hebei financial development is in the primary stage, the financial contribution to the economy is low, and economic growth promotes the financial institutions to improve; The financial development in Liaoning has little influence on economic growth, but the relationship between financial development and economic growth is "mutually reinforcing", and the development model is better. Finally, according to the results of theoretical analysis and empirical research, the paper puts forward the concept of regional financial cooperation around the Bohai Sea, and aims at the present situation of regional economic and financial development. The countermeasures and suggestions to promote the regional financial cooperation around the Bohai Sea are put forward from the two aspects of financial differentiation and financial cooperation.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F224;F127;F832

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