人民币实际有效汇率对纺织行业的影响

发布时间：2018-06-01 18:56

本文选题：汇率 + 实际有效汇率　；参考：《上海交通大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着中国经济的快速发展和改革开放的深入，尤其是在加入WTO和实行汇率机制改革之后，中国企业在国际化经营的过程中，势必要面临越来越突出的汇率风险问题。自2005年汇改以来，人民币开始进入升值通道，汇率波动不断增加。在我国出口贸易中具有重要地位的纺织行业在此影响下将会受到怎样的影响，值得我们关注。以纺织行业为代表进行研究，这对于研究人民币升值对我国劳动力密集型、外向型产业的影响，具有重要的理论和实践意义。本文从理论和实证两个方面就人民币汇率变动对中国纺织行业的影响进行研究。理论方面，本文讨论了人民币升值是怎样对中国纺织行业的进出口、就业、经济效益产生影响的。实证方面，本文运用了2003年至2010年的季度数据，研究了人民币升值对于行业工业总产值、就业、毛利润等经济指标的影响，得出人民币汇率升值对行业的经济运行存在负面影响的结论。最后，本文就人民币升值背景下，中国纺织行业该如何应对提出了策略和建议。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's economy and the deepening of reform and opening up, especially after China's entry into WTO and the implementation of exchange rate mechanism reform, Chinese enterprises are bound to face more and more prominent exchange rate risk problems in the process of international operation. Since the exchange rate reform in 2005, the RMB began to enter the appreciation channel, exchange rate fluctuations continue to increase. How the textile industry, which plays an important role in China's export trade, will be affected by this influence is worthy of our attention. The research on the textile industry is of great theoretical and practical significance for the study of the impact of RMB appreciation on labor-intensive and export-oriented industries in China. This paper studies the impact of RMB exchange rate change on China's textile industry from both theoretical and empirical aspects. Theoretically, this paper discusses how the appreciation of RMB affects the import and export, employment and economic benefits of China's textile industry. Empirically, this paper uses the quarterly data from 2003 to 2010 to study the impact of RMB appreciation on industrial output value, employment, gross profit and other economic indicators. The conclusion that RMB exchange rate appreciation has a negative impact on the economic operation of the industry. Finally, this paper puts forward some strategies and suggestions on how to deal with the RMB appreciation.
【学位授予单位】：上海交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F426.81

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