基于黄金属性的黄金产业发展研究

发布时间：2018-06-10 10:26

本文选题：黄金属性 + 黄金价格　；参考：《北京交通大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：摘要：黄金以其独特的物理和化学属性在经济社会中延伸出三大经济属性,即货币、投资和商品属性。基于这三种属性,关于黄金的经济活动今天已经发展成为一个不容小觑的产业,在国民经济运行和发展中发挥越来越大的作用。我国黄金市场自从2002年市场化改革以来,发展显著。目前,我国已成为全球黄金最大生产国和第二大消费国。2011年,黄金交易年累计成交总量为722.18万手,同比增112.59%；累计成交总额为2.55万亿元,同比增178.68%。然而,我国黄金产业存在产业政策处于体系的建立与发展阶段,低水平重复建设现象严重、产业集中度低,生产方式粗放、增长方式转变缓慢,利用外资、对外开放管理需完善等方面的问题。黄金曾在货币体系中占据核心地位。在脱离了货币本位后,黄金仍一定程度上保留着交换和流通的货币属性,但更增添了投资属性,具备储备价值并能带来良好的收益。相对于黄金的货币属性和投资属性而言,黄金还具有商品属性,即以其自然属性为依托作为一种特殊矿产材料能满足生产和生活需要的基本属性。目前对于黄金的研究多集中于其某一个属性或者三个属性的综合,或者通过研究国内外交易投资体系,对国内黄金市场体系的建设、纸黄金的交易投资体系提出建议等,很少将黄金视为一个产业并加以研究。本文基于对黄金三大属性的分析,并对我国黄金产业的现状及存在的问题进行剖析,运用供给-需求理论、EVIEWS6.0软件和SWOT分析方法,系统研究我国黄金产业的供需及价格,尝试性地探讨和预测未来黄金供需格局、价格走向、黄金产业的发展趋势,提出了我国黄金产业需要提高产业集中度,扩大开放,促进黄金市场走向成熟的政策建议。得出了如下结论：一是中国黄金产业在国民经济中仍将发挥重要作用,特别建议国家增加黄金储备,进一步增强外汇储备的多样性和投资收益,维护国家的经济安全；二是中国黄金产业在未来仍将有长足发,黄金矿业要继续做大做强。这些结论将有助于规划我国的黄金产业,实现未来可持续发展。本文的不足之处是黄金产业数据的搜集和整理较为困难,定量分析时筛选指标的难度较大,需要以后做进一步探讨与研究。
[Abstract]:Abstract: gold, with its unique physical and chemical properties, extends to three economic attributes in economic society, namely currency, investment and commodity. Based on these three attributes, the economic activities of gold have developed into an industry that can not be underestimated today, which plays a more and more important role in the operation and development of national economy. China's gold market has developed significantly since the 2002 market reform. At present, China has become the world's largest producer and second largest consumer of gold. In 2011, the total number of gold transactions in the year was 7.2218 million hands, an increase of 112.59 yuan, and the cumulative transaction volume was 2.55 trillion yuan, an increase of 178.68 yuan compared with the same period last year. However, the industrial policy of gold industry in our country is in the stage of system establishment and development, the phenomenon of low level repeated construction is serious, the industrial concentration is low, the mode of production is extensive, the mode of growth is changing slowly, and foreign capital is utilized. Gold once occupied the core position in the monetary system. After leaving the monetary standard, gold still retains the currency attribute of exchange and circulation to some extent, but it also increases the investment attribute, has the reserve value and can bring good income. Compared with the monetary attribute and investment attribute of gold, gold also has commodity attribute, that is, relying on its natural attribute as a special mineral material, it can meet the needs of production and life. At present, most of the studies on gold focus on the synthesis of one or three of its attributes, or by studying the domestic and foreign trading and investment systems, the construction of the domestic gold market system and the paper gold trading and investment system, and so on. Gold is rarely considered and studied as an industry. Based on the analysis of the three attributes of gold, the present situation and existing problems of China's gold industry are analyzed, and the supply-demand theory of EVIEWS6.0 and SWOT analysis method are used to systematically study the supply and demand and price of China's gold industry. This paper tries to probe into and predict the pattern of supply and demand of gold in the future, the trend of price and the development trend of gold industry, and puts forward some policy suggestions on how to improve the concentration of gold industry, expand the opening up and promote the development of gold market in China. The conclusions are as follows: first, China's gold industry will continue to play an important role in the national economy, especially suggest that the country increase gold reserves, further enhance the diversity of foreign exchange reserves and investment returns, and maintain national economic security; Second, China's gold industry in the future will still have a substantial development, the gold mining industry to continue to grow stronger. These conclusions will help to plan the gold industry in our country and realize the sustainable development in the future. The deficiency of this paper is that it is difficult to collect and organize the gold industry data, and it is difficult to screen the indexes in quantitative analysis. Need to do further exploration and research later.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F426.32;F832.54

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