中国对外贸易、FDI对就业影响的实证研究——基于加入世贸组织前后东、中、西部数据的比较

发布时间：2018-06-16 06:32

本文选题：进口 + 出口　；参考：《国际贸易问题》2010年08期

【摘要】：加入世界贸易组织影响着中国的对外贸易、FDI以及经济结构,而这些又对中国的就业产生着深刻影响。文章建立了关于就业的线性计量模型,利用中国29个省市1985-2008年的面板数据,按东中西部划分区域、以中国入世为时间分界,进行分阶段分区域实证研究。主要检验了入世前后全国、东中西部进出口、FDI等对于就业的影响。结果表明:总体上,FDI、出口促进了就业的增加,但拉动作用在减小;东部在入世后FDI、出口对就业的拉动作用不再显著,而中部与西部则在入世后开始显著促进就业;进口总体上抑制了就业,不过也存在一定地区差异。核心政策启示包括:鼓励东部将有关企业向中西部转移,而中西部也应抓住机遇积极制定吸引企业西迁的政策等。
[Abstract]:China's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) affects China's foreign trade, FDI and economic structure, which in turn has a profound impact on China's employment. Based on the panel data of 29 provinces and cities in China from 1985 to 2008, this paper establishes a linear econometric model of employment, divides the regions according to the east, the west and the west, and takes China's entry into WTO as the time boundary to carry out the empirical research in different stages and regions. This paper mainly examines the influence of FDI on employment before and after China's entry into WTO. The results show that, on the whole, the export promotes the increase of employment, but the pulling effect is decreasing, the eastern part of FDI has no significant effect on employment after China's entry into WTO, but the central and western regions are beginning to promote employment significantly after China's entry into WTO. Imports on the whole suppressed employment, but there are also regional differences. The core policy revelations include encouraging the eastern region to transfer the relevant enterprises to the central and western regions, and the central and western regions should seize the opportunity to actively formulate policies to attract enterprises to move to the west, and so on.
【作者单位】：浙江工业大学经贸管理学院;杭州师范大学钱江学院;
【基金】：浙江省科技厅重大攻关课题“美国产业国际转移及科技国际合作政策与浙江企业技术创新的对策研究”资助(编号:2006C10003)
【分类号】：F752;F249.2;F832.6;F224

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