国内外投资与内蒙古经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-24 02:33

本文选题：固定资产投资 + 外商直接投资　；参考：《首都经济贸易大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：投资是促进经济增长的重要动力之一,既可以拉动对生产资料和劳务商品进而对消费资料的需求,引起国民需求总量的增加,也可以向社会在生产过程注入新的生产要素,增加资本积累,进而增加生产资料的供给,这两种方式均会在一定程度上带动一个国家或地区的经济增长。尤其对于内蒙古自治区,自改革开放以及西部大开发战略实施以来,其经济高速发展,人均收入不断提高,地区综合经济实力稳步上升,对我国经济运行发展的作用日益重要。对于内蒙古自治区的这种发展模式,在投资发挥首要贡献作用的同时,也存在基础设施建设滞后、产业结构不合理、投资结构有待优化、区域发展不平衡等问题,使得对于投资与内蒙古经济增长之间关系的研究具有重要的现实意义。投资与经济增长的关系受到社会多种因素影响作用,将投资按地域划分为国内投资和国外投资加以区别研究显得十分必要,以保障政府有效制定宏观经济政策,优化国内固定资产投资结构、更好的利用国际投资,更加直接、有效的促进内蒙古自治区的经济增长。本文通过对1986-2009年内蒙古自治区的经济数据进行了收集和整理,在对内蒙古自治区经济增长和投资现状分析的基础上,进一步选取VAR模型作为计量研究基础,对国内外投资与内蒙古经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。通过经济增长和投资现状分析,近几年内蒙古经济的辉煌过度依赖资源、能源,而且区域发展不平衡也是内蒙古经济发展中的大问题,而在目前国家大力倡导节能减排、优化产业结构和转变经济发展方式的大环境下,内蒙古需要做的还很多；VAR模型结果则指出内蒙古固定资产投资和外商直接投资与经济增长存在长期稳定的比例关系；尽管固定资产投资对内蒙古经济增长的贡献明显大于外商直接投资,鉴于内蒙古在利用外商直接投资起步较晚,目前正处于大踏步前进的阶段,外商直接投资对内蒙古经济增长的贡献越来越大。因此,为从投资角度保障内蒙古自治区经济长期、稳定、快速发展,本文提出了优化固定资产投资结构、进一步加大内蒙古对外招商引资力度的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Investment is one of the important driving forces to promote economic growth. It can not only stimulate the demand for the means of production and labor services and then for the consumption materials, but also increase the total amount of national demand, and also inject new factors of production into the society in the process of production. To increase the capital accumulation and then increase the supply of the means of production, these two ways will to a certain extent promote the economic growth of a country or region. Especially for Inner Mongolia Autonomous region, since the implementation of the strategy of reform and opening up and the development of the western region, its economy has developed at a high speed, its per capita income has been constantly rising, and the regional comprehensive economic strength has risen steadily, which is increasingly important to the development of our country's economic operation. For this development model of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region, while investment plays a primary role, there are also problems such as lagged infrastructure construction, unreasonable industrial structure, investment structure to be optimized, unbalanced regional development, and so on. It is of great practical significance to study the relationship between investment and economic growth in Inner Mongolia. The relationship between investment and economic growth is influenced by many social factors, so it is necessary to divide investment into domestic investment and foreign investment in order to ensure the government to formulate macroeconomic policies effectively. Optimize the structure of domestic fixed assets investment, make better use of international investment, and promote the economic growth of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region more directly and effectively. This paper collects and collates the economic data of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region from 1986 to 2009, and on the basis of analyzing the present situation of economic growth and investment in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region, further selects the VAR model as the basis of econometric research. This paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between domestic and foreign investment and economic growth in Inner Mongolia. Through the analysis of the present economic growth and investment situation, the resplendence of Inner Mongolia economy in recent years has been excessively dependent on resources and energy, and the imbalance of regional development is also a major problem in the economic development of Inner Mongolia. At present, Inner Mongolia has vigorously advocated energy conservation and emission reduction. Under the circumstances of optimizing the industrial structure and changing the mode of economic development, there are still many VAR models that need to be done in Inner Mongolia to point out that there is a long-term stable proportional relationship between fixed asset investment and foreign direct investment in Inner Mongolia and economic growth. Although the contribution of fixed asset investment to the economic growth of Inner Mongolia is obviously greater than that of foreign direct investment, in view of the fact that Inner Mongolia started relatively late in using foreign direct investment, it is now in the stage of making great strides forward. Foreign direct investment (FDI) has contributed more and more to economic growth in Inner Mongolia. Therefore, in order to ensure the long-term, stable and rapid development of Inner Mongolia's economy from the angle of investment, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on optimizing the investment structure of fixed assets and further increasing the intensity of foreign investment in Inner Mongolia.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F127;F224

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