通货膨胀不确定性:模型测度与经济解读
发布时间：2018-08-08 13:06
【摘要】：通货膨胀的不确定性对宏观经济变量有较大的影响,本文通过考察我国通货膨胀对经济稳定的影响发现,通货膨胀不确定性主要对消费有显著影响,对投资和净出口的影响不明显。我国市场经济转型使得消费对经济发展的影响越来越大,稳定通货膨胀预期成为经济稳健运行的重要环节。为此,需要提高政策的可预见性,提高政策的透明度与公信力,完善货币政策调控机制,平稳市场供求,实现经济稳定可持续增长。
[Abstract]:The uncertainty of inflation has a great influence on the macroeconomic variables. By examining the impact of inflation on economic stability, this paper finds that the uncertainty of inflation has a significant impact on consumption. The impact on investment and net exports is not obvious. The transformation of market economy in our country makes consumption have more and more influence on economic development, and stabilizing inflation expectation becomes an important link in the steady operation of economy. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the predictability of policy, improve the transparency and credibility of policy, perfect the mechanism of monetary policy regulation and control, stabilize the market supply and demand, and realize the stable and sustainable growth of economy.
【作者单位】： 西安交通大学经济与金融学院;
【基金】：教育部应急课题“国际金融危机应对研究”(2009JYJR058)
【分类号】：F224;F822.5
[Abstract]:The uncertainty of inflation has a great influence on the macroeconomic variables. By examining the impact of inflation on economic stability, this paper finds that the uncertainty of inflation has a significant impact on consumption. The impact on investment and net exports is not obvious. The transformation of market economy in our country makes consumption have more and more influence on economic development, and stabilizing inflation expectation becomes an important link in the steady operation of economy. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the predictability of policy, improve the transparency and credibility of policy, perfect the mechanism of monetary policy regulation and control, stabilize the market supply and demand, and realize the stable and sustainable growth of economy.
【作者单位】： 西安交通大学经济与金融学院;
【基金】：教育部应急课题“国际金融危机应对研究”(2009JYJR058)
【分类号】：F224;F822.5
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前2条
1 王凯;庞震;;货币供应量、通货膨胀不确定性与经济增长——兼论弗里德曼假说在中国的适用性[J];山西财经大学学报;2008年07期
2 贾俊雪;郭庆旺;曹永刚;;中国货币增长的不确定性及其对宏观经济的影响[J];中国软科学;2006年11期
【共引文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 苏h椒，
本文编号：2171868
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