中国资源导向型对外直接投资的经济效应分析

发布时间：2018-08-18 21:21

【摘要】：在经济持续增长、规模日益扩张的背景下,中国对全球资源的需求迅速膨胀,由此带来了资源导向型(Resource-seeking)对外直接投资的迅速增长。本文从中国资源导向型对外直接投资的特征分析入手,基于现实考察和理论分析,采用以实证分析为主的方法,阐述和检验资源导向型对外直接投资对我国进出口、就业和经济增长的影响。本文研究内容包括：对外直接投资母国经济效应的文献整理、中国资源导向型对外直接投资的总体状况以及特征分析、资源导向型对外直接投资经济影响的理论机理与实证分析、促进和完善中国资源导向型对外直接投资的政策建议。理论上讲,对外直接投资将对母国进出口贸易、就业、投资、国民收入、经济增长及投资公司增长、技术进步都将产生影响。由于中国对外直接投资的统计制度的某些限制,相关具体的数据没有办法得到。因此,本文对中国资源导向型对外直接投资加经济效应的考察,主要限于进出口、就业和经济增长等三个方面。实证分析的思路是：基于理论前提,提出假设,然后根据研究的需要,并参考国外相关研究成果,构建适宜模型,选取适当的样本对假设进行检验。本文的研究结论是：第一,中国资源导向型对外直接投资的基本动因,是满足国内的持续增长的资源需求和多元化的能源与矿产资源的供给；第二,投资方式灵活和地域分布广泛是中国资源导向型对外直接投资的基本特征；第三,资源型导向型对外投资对我国进口和出口都具有积极的促进作用；第四,资源型对外投资对我国就业具有促进作用；第五,资源导向型对外投资的流量和存量对我国GDP的增长都具有积极的促进作用,但其固定影响存在明显的地区差异,截距项小于0的全部集中在北京、上海、重庆、天津、西部地区和沿海地区及东北地区。为了实现中国资源型导向型对外投资的健康发展,政府需要采取多种措施,主要是：做好服务与指导工作、扶持建立产业领军企业、培养综合型国际人才提高风险意识与做好风险控制、建立海外直接投资风险担保机制,同时,要高度关注资源导向型对外直接投资对东道国的经济影响。
[Abstract]:In the context of sustained economic growth and expanding scale, China's demand for global resources has expanded rapidly, which has brought about the rapid growth of resource-oriented (Resource-seeking) foreign direct investment. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of China's resource-oriented foreign direct investment (FDI), and based on the practical investigation and theoretical analysis, this paper expounds and tests the impact of resource-oriented FDI on China's import and export by adopting the method of empirical analysis. The impact of employment and economic growth. The research contents of this paper include: literature review of the home country economic effect of FDI, the general situation and characteristic analysis of China's resource-oriented FDI. The theoretical mechanism and empirical analysis of the economic impact of resource-oriented foreign direct investment (FDI) are analyzed to promote and improve the policy recommendations of China's resource-oriented FDI. In theory, foreign direct investment will have an impact on the home country's import and export trade, employment, investment, national income, economic growth and investment company growth, technological progress. Due to some limitations of China's OFDI statistical system, relevant specific data are not available. Therefore, the study of China's resource-oriented FDI plus economic effects is mainly limited to three aspects: import and export, employment and economic growth. The idea of empirical analysis is: based on the theoretical premise, the hypothesis is put forward, and then according to the needs of the research, and referring to the relevant research results abroad, the appropriate model is constructed, and appropriate samples are selected to test the hypothesis. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: first, the basic motivation of China's resource-oriented foreign direct investment is to meet the continuous growth of domestic resource demand and diversified supply of energy and mineral resources; second, Flexible investment mode and wide geographical distribution are the basic characteristics of China's resource-oriented foreign direct investment; third, resource-oriented foreign investment has a positive role in promoting China's imports and exports; fourth, Resource-oriented foreign investment can promote employment in China. Fifth, the flow and stock of resource-oriented foreign investment have positive effects on the growth of GDP in China, but there are obvious regional differences in their fixed effects. The intercept less than 0 is concentrated in Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Tianjin, western and coastal areas and Northeast China. In order to achieve the healthy development of China's resource-oriented foreign investment, the government needs to take a variety of measures, mainly: to do a good job of service and guidance, to support the establishment of industrial leaders, To train comprehensive international talents to improve risk awareness and risk control, to establish a risk guarantee mechanism for overseas direct investment, and to pay close attention to the economic impact of resource-oriented foreign direct investment on the host country.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F224

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