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人民币升值对中国农产品出口竞争力的影响研究

发布时间:2018-12-11 20:14
【摘要】:近年来,,人民币升值成为了国际社会和学术界普遍关注的热点,其中的焦点之一,在于人民币升值对中国经济的负面影响。农业是我国的重要基础产业,农产品出口对于增加农民收入,改善我国的进出口贸易结果具有重要影响。 本文以我国农产品出口竞争力为研究对象,运用农产品出口竞争力指数指标,客观分析了我国农产品出口竞争力的变化情况,同时,研究了农产品出口的相关结构情况。同时,以2000-2010年月度人民币实际有效汇率为解释变量,通过建立误差修正模型,分析了人民币升值对出口竞争力的影响。分析表明,人民币实际有效汇率的变动与农产品出口竞争力是呈显著负相关关系,人民币升值将给我国农产品的出口竞争力带来一定程度的负面影响。 针对文章的研究结果,着眼于改善和提升人民币升值压力下的农产品出口竞争力,文章最后提出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, RMB appreciation has become the focus of international and academic attention, one of the focuses is the negative impact of RMB appreciation on China's economy. Agriculture is an important basic industry in China, and the export of agricultural products plays an important role in increasing farmers' income and improving the results of China's import and export trade. This paper takes our country's agricultural product export competitiveness as the research object, uses the agricultural product export competitiveness index, analyzes objectively the change situation of our country's agricultural product export competitiveness, at the same time, studies the related structure situation of the agricultural product export. At the same time, taking the monthly effective exchange rate of RMB from 2000 to 2010 as the explanatory variable, this paper analyzes the effect of RMB appreciation on export competitiveness by establishing an error correction model. The analysis shows that the change of the real effective exchange rate of RMB has a significant negative correlation with the export competitiveness of agricultural products, and the appreciation of RMB will bring some negative effects to the export competitiveness of agricultural products in China. In view of the research results, this paper focuses on improving and enhancing the export competitiveness of agricultural products under the pressure of RMB appreciation, and finally puts forward corresponding policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】:重庆师范大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2012
【分类号】:F832.6;F752.62;F224

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